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Knicks v Pacers predictions, best bets and odds for ECF Game 1

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New York Knicks v Indiana Pacers predictions, best bets and odds for Eastern Conference Final Game 1
New York Knicks v Indiana Pacers predictions, best bets and odds for Eastern Conference Final Game 1AFP

The New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers meet in Game 1 of this season's NBA Eastern Conference Finals. We review the betting markets ahead of this keenly anticipated fixture, highlighting the odds which offer most value.

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The rivalry between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers is one of the most intense and iconic in the NBA, forged in the 1990s with memorable contests and iconic figures such as Reggie Miller and Patrick Ewing. This rivalry transcended the courts, symbolising the clash between the urban sophistication of affluent New York and Indiana's industrial grit and working-class roots. The duels between the two teams were marked by unforgettable moments, such as Miller's provocations of Spike Lee and John Starks' head-butt, cementing a feud that has endured the test of time.

That feud continues into the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals, as the Knicks and Pacers meet for their ninth play-off showdown since 1993. This matchup is more frequent than any other in the modern NBA era, even surpassing classics such as Celtics-Bulls or Lakers-Spurs. The Pacers overcame the Knicks in last year's Conference semi-finals to extend their lead in the all-time post-season series between these bitter rivals, but their opponents enter the upcoming meeting with a thirst for revenge and a strengthened roster.

Both teams have had impressive runs in the 2025 play-offs. The Knicks eliminated the Celtics in six games, showing solid defence and a productive offence led by Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns. The Pacers, meanwhile, surprised by beating the top-seeded Cavaliers in five games, a victory fuelled by a sequence of inspirational Tyrese Haliburton performances.

New York Knicks v Indiana Pacers; Thursday, 01:00 am

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers
New York Knicks vs Indiana PacersAFP

The New York Knicks come into the Conference Finals on a high note, buoyed by a dominant performance against the Celtics in the semifinals, where they sealed a convincing 4-2 win. Tom Thibodeau's team have delivered at both ends of the court, with Jalen Brunson commanding the offence, accompanied by steady defensive contributions from OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges. Additionally, Madison Square Garden has been a fortress for the Knicks, where they have won five of the last seven meetings against the Pacers, including the most recent crossover in 2025. This home dominance, coupled with the emotional boost of playing in their first Conference Finals in 25 years, makes the Knicks favourites to take Game 1.

On the other hand, the Indiana Pacers come into the game with some question marks on the road, having lost five of their last seven games in New York. Although Rick Carlisle's team upset the odds by recording an emphatic 4-1 win over the Cavaliers, their performances on the road have been underwhelming. Therefore, securing a positive result at the intimidating Madison Square Garden seems unlikely. Nevertheless, there is some cause for optimism. The Knicks have shown vulnerability in defensive areas this term, often struggling to slow down their opposition's key scorers. If the hosts fail to contain Haliburton and Pascal Siakam - who collectively racked up more than a half-century of points in the final instalment of the Pacers' semi-final clash with the Cavaliers - it could have a major bearing on the outcome of this match.

However, the recent history of this fixture suggests a Knicks victory will be forthcoming in the first tie.

Tip: New York Knicks to win - 11/20

Bet explanation: This bet is a winner if the New York Knicks get the win in the first meeting of the series.

 

Jalen Brunson has been the offensive engine for the New York Knicks during the 2024/25 campaign, averaging 26.0 points - having converted 48.9% of his close-range field goal attempts and more than a third of his three-point efforts - and 7.6 assists per game throughout the course of the regular season.

His ability to lead the attack and generate scoring opportunities for himself and others has been crucial to the Knicks' success this term. During the play-offs, Brunson has been at his imperios best. The 28-year-old registered 39 points and 12 assists during Game 4 of the semi-final showdown with the Celtics, highlighting his ability to produce big performances when it matters most. In his 12 play-off appearances this term, Brunson has averaged 28.8 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 7.7 assists - a phenomenal return.

In addition to his stats, Brunson has demonstrated immense determination, resolve, and leadership capabilities in recent weeks, helping the Knicks to bounce back from several setbacks. In play-off games following a loss, he has averaged 32.5 points, 7.4 assists and 4.3 rebounds, leading the Knicks to a 9-2 record in those games. His ability to respond to adversity and keep the team focused on the task at hand has been instrumental in the Knicks reaching the Eastern Conference Finals. If the New Yorkers are to claim a third NBA Championship, Brunson must extend his current run of form.

Jalen Brunson has dished out seven or more assists in seven of his last 10 games. He has also made two or more three-pointers in eight of his last ten games.

Tip: Jalen Brunson two or more threes + seven or more assists - 19/25

Bet explanation: This bet is a winner if Jalen Brunson makes two three-pointers or more and also dishes out seven or more assists.