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Pep Guardiola’s side are targeting a strong finish to secure automatic qualification for the last 16, but they arrive in Norway needing a response after a disappointing 2-0 derby defeat to Manchester United over the weekend.
For Bodo/Glimt, the outlook is far bleaker. With just three points from six league phase matches, the Norwegian champions are almost certainly heading for an early exit unless a dramatic turnaround materialises in the final two rounds.
While their matches have been entertaining and goal-heavy, defensive frailties have consistently undermined their progress, and hosting a wounded Manchester City side may prove an unwelcome challenge.
Bodo/Glimt v Manchester City tips
• Over 2.5 goals – 33/100 with Bet365
• Both teams to score – 57/100 with Bet365
• Manchester City to win – 9/25 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Over 2.5 goals
Goals have been a defining feature of Bodo/Glimt’s Champions League campaign. Five of their six league phase games have produced over 3.5 goals.
Even though five of Manchester City’s last six games in all competitions have stayed under 2.5 goals, the context here is different, with Bodo/Glimt conceding heavily and City possessing the firepower to capitalise.
Given that Glimt have also posted the highest expected goals against (xG against) of any team in the competition, over 2.5 goals at 33/100 looks an attractive option.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are more than three goals scored in the game between Bodo/Glimt and Manchester City.
Both teams to score
11 of Bodo/Glimt’s last 12 league phase matches in European competition have seen both teams score, while they have conceded at least twice in five of their six Champions League games this season.
City’s injury-hit defence has been far from watertight of late, and playing away in unfamiliar conditions could present moments of vulnerability.
With Bodo/Glimt still capable of contributing offensively through players like Jens Petter Hauge, BTTS at 57/100 offers great value.
Tip: Both teams to score @57/100
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Bodo/Glimt and Manchester City each score at least one goal.
Manchester City to win
Despite recent domestic struggles, Manchester City remain overwhelming favourites to take all three points.
English sides are unbeaten in their last nine major European away games against Norwegian opposition (W6, D3), and City themselves are unbeaten on the road in this season’s Champions League (W2, D1).
With Pep Guardiola closing in on his 25th away win in the competition and Erling Haaland returning to his home country, motivation should not be lacking. Against a Bodo/Glimt side with the worst defensive metrics in the league phase, City’s quality should tell, making the 9/25 price on an away win justifiable.
Tip: Manchester City to win @ 9/25
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Manchester City beats Bodo/Glimt regardless of the score.
Bodo/Glimt v Manchester City odds
• Bodo/Glimt – 6/1 with Bet365
• Draw – 19/4 with Bet365
• Manchester City – 9/25 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.