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Enzo Maresca’s side hit their stride before the international break, and have now won three games on the spin across all competitions, including a hard-fought 1-0 triumph over Benfica on matchday two in the league phase.
This fixture also marks a special milestone for the Blues as they prepare for their 200th game in the Champions League proper.
With momentum building and confidence high, Chelsea will aim to celebrate the occasion in style against an Ajax team desperately seeking to end a miserable run of form.
Chelsea v Ajax tips
• Chelsea to win - 11/50 with Bet365
• Over 2.5 goals - 2/5 with Bet365
• Moises Caicedo to make 3+ tackles - 1/2 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Chelsea to win @ 11/50 with Bet365
It’s hard to look beyond Chelsea here. The Blues have lost just two of their last 12 Champions League games at Stamford Bridge (W9, D1), both against Real Madrid in the knockout stages. In the group or league phase, their record is even stronger as they are unbeaten in 12 (W8, D4).
Ajax’s woes against English opposition only strengthen the argument. The Dutch outfit are winless in their last 11 European meetings with Premier League sides (D2, L9) and have failed to score in their last five such fixtures.
Their struggles are well-documented as the visitors winless in their last six matches across all competitions (D2, L4), including two defeats from two in this season’s Champions League without scoring a single goal. Their last outing, a 4-0 loss away to Marseille, summed up their issues at both ends of the pitch.
Considering Chelsea’s recent resurgence and their fortress-like home form, a straightforward home win at 11/50 with Bet365 looks like one of the safest plays on the card.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Chelsea beat Ajax regardless of the score.
Over 2.5 goals
Chelsea’s attacking confidence is growing as they’ve scored at least two games in their last two games.
Ajax, on the other hand, are notoriously leaky away from home, conceding four in Marseille and averaging over 2.5 goals conceded per match in their last five outings.
Historically, this fixture tends to deliver drama too as the last meeting between these sides at Stamford Bridge ended 4-4 in one of the most chaotic games of the 2019/20 group stage. Given Chelsea’s recent attacking fluidity and Ajax’s defensive vulnerability, Over 2.5 goals at 2/5 with Bet365 feels like a confident selection.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 2/5
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least three goals scored in the game between Chelsea and Ajax.
Moises Caicedo to make 3+ tackles
Few players have made a bigger impact in Chelsea’s midfield recently than Moises Caicedo. The Ecuadorian was immense on Matchday 2, recording seven tackles against Benfica - the most by any player in the Champions League that round. Only two players have made more tackles than him in the competition this season (9 total).
Given Ajax’s possession-heavy style and tendency to attack through central areas, Caicedo will likely have plenty of opportunities to break up play.
With the added rest he enjoyed over the weekend, backing him to make 3+ tackles at 1/2 with Bet365 looks a smart prop bet that aligns perfectly with both his role and recent form.
Tip: Moises Caicedo to make 3+ tackles @ 1/2
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Moises Caicedo makes at least three tackles against Ajax.
Chelsea v Ajax odds
• Chelsea to win - 11/50 with Bet365
• Draw - 6/1 with Bet365
• Ajax to win - 10/1 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.