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Matchweek four brings some mouth-watering ties, including PSG vs Bayern Munich, and Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund. You can follow our best bets from week four at Flashscore. On this page, we focus on the match from England, where Liverpool and Real Madrid go head-to-head before the live TV cameras and a global audience.
Liverpool hold the home advantage, and fans packed into the iconic stadium dream of cheering their favourites to a stunning win and important three points. Things aren't going too well for Arne Slot in the EPL, but the Champions League provides a welcome distraction. Will that bring the best out of Mo Salah and his teammates? We'll soon find out.
Real Madrid boast a 100% record from their previous three games. They're level on points with four other teams, including current pace-setters and champions PSG. These rivals have met 12 times previously, with the head-to-head stats showing Madrid have seven wins and a draw. Liverpool did win 2-0 here last year, just to make things interesting. Football betting writer Frank Monkhouse uses the stats and trends available at Flashscore to find a winner.
Liverpool vs Real Madrid tips
Under 3.5 goals @ 8/11 (bet365)
Real Madrid or draw @ 4/7 (bet365)
Vinicius Jr to score @ 7/4 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Stats suggest a low-scoring night
When two of the biggest and most successful teams in the Champions League meet, anything is possible. Liverpool arrive seriously out of form, by their high standards, but are capable of beating any opponent at a packed Anfield. The atmosphere will be electric. Madrid are giants of the game and plan to return to Spain with their 100% record intact.
Tuesday's match is unpredictable, given Liverpool's inconsistent form. That encourages us to keep things simple for our first bet of the evening, and place our trust in the trends. Looking at the head-to-head stats, we note there has been no more than two goals scored in the previous two meetings. Madrid won 1-0 in Spain, before Liverpool won 2-0 here.
Looking back further, a bet on under 3.5 goals would've landed you a profit in four of the previous five. With Liverpool determined to keep things tight at the back, knowing their best chance of winning comes off a solid defence, I'm picking another low-scoring affair. You can follow my pick and add under 3.5 goals to your midweek accumulators.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals @ 8/11 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Liverpool vs Real Madrid produces fewer than four goals combined, your bet is a winner.
Keep faith with the Spaniards
Jumping down off the fence, we're picking sides for our second bet. Place your stake on Real Madrid to win, and you'll be getting a star-studded team showing better form than their opponents. Bet on Madrid or draw in the double chance market, and land a payout if Liverpool fail to win. The away win pays the same as the draw with the double chance.
Dipping back into the useful Liverpool vs Real Madrid H2H stats available on the Flashscore app now shows backing Real Madrid or draw in the double chance resulted in a profit in eight of the previous ten games involving the Reds and Blancos. That run stretches back to March 2009, with seven wins for Madrid and a goalless draw at this stadium.
Before arriving in England, Madrid collected impressive wins over Marseille, Kairat, and Juventus. Our pick has scored eight goals and conceded just one, firing five in their only previous road trip. They won't get things quite as easy at Anfield against a determined opponent, but Madrid are in better shape than Liverpool. We hope that shows in the result.
Tip: Real Madrid or draw @ 4/7 (bet365)
Bet explanation: The match must end in either a draw or a win for Real Madrid to boost your betting balance.
Vinicius Jr to add to his tally
We've kept the best for last, certainly in terms of odds. Trawling the goalscorer market and trying to predict which players will fire Real Madrid to victory, we settle on the always exciting Vinicius Jr. The Brazilian forward got a brace when Real Madrid thumped Liverpool 5-2 here in February 2023. Backers follow a forward who has proven himself many times at this level.
Focusing on his most recent form, Vinicius Jr last found the net when the Samba Boys thrashed South Korea 5-0 in a friendly match away from home. He has also been on target against Villarreal, Levante, Mallorca, and Real Oviedo this season. Tuesday presents a tougher opponent, but Junior has no problems adding important goals when his employers need him most. You can back Junior to score as a single or add to your UCL multiples.
When playing the anytime scorer market, it doesn't matter when Junior finds the net. He could score first in a 5-0 away win or last in a 3-1 defeat in England. As long as the Real Madrid forward gets his name on the scoresheet, you'll enjoy a winner.
Tip: Junior to score anytime @ 7/4 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Vinicius must score against Liverpool in midweek for you to beat the bookies.
Liverpool vs Real Madrid odds
Liverpool win @ 27/20 (bet365)
Real Madrid win @ 9/5 (bet365)
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.