Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Five first-half goals effectively ended the tie before the interval, leaving the return leg at St James’ Park looking more like a formality than a contest.
History strongly backs the Magpies from here. No team in major European competition history has overturned a first-leg deficit of five or more goals to progress, this being the 301st such scenario.
Newcastle v Qarabag tips
• Anthony Gordon to register 2+ shots on target – 5/4 with Bet365
• Over 2.5 goals – 7/25 with Bet365
• Both teams to score – 19/20 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Gordon to register 2+ shots on target
Anthony Gordon has been electric in this season’s Champions League. His four-goal haul in the first leg took him to 10 goals in 15 appearances, making him the second quickest English player to reach double figures in the competition’s history, behind only Harry Kane.
Newcastle have scored in each of their last 11 Champions League matches (25 goals), and Gordon has been central to that attacking output in his new advanced role.
With Qarabag conceding 27 goals in nine matches this campaign, including six in each of their last two outings, chances should once again be at a premium. Even if Howe rotates slightly, Gordon’s clinical edge and confidence suggest he can test the goalkeeper at least twice. At 5/4, this offers very attractive value.
Tip: Anthony Gordon to register 2+ shots on target @ 5/4
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Anthony Gordon plays at least two shots on target against Qarabag.
Over 2.5 goals
The first leg produced seven goals, and there’s little to suggest a dramatic slowdown here. Qarabag are one of only three sides this century to concede 6+ goals in consecutive Champions League matches in the same season.
Meanwhile, Newcastle have won five of their nine Champions League matches this term and are pushing to make it six, their most ever in a single edition.
With the Azerbaijan side with no choice but to go for it, and the Magpies scoring freely (25 goals across an 11-game scoring streak), over 2.5 goals at 7/25 looks a solid bet.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least three goals scored in the Newcastle v Qarabag.
Both teams to score
Despite the aggregate scoreline, there is still a case for Qarabag getting on the scoresheet. Newcastle have conceded 2+ goals in five of their last six competitive home games, suggesting they remain vulnerable defensively even when dominant overall.
With the tie effectively beyond them, Qarabag can afford to attack without fear, and Newcastle may not maintain full defensive intensity given their commanding advantage.
At 19/20, both teams to score holds appeal in what could become an open, end-to-end encounter once the initial tempo settles.
Tip: Both teams to score @ 19/20
Bet explanation: This bet wins if both Newcastle and Qarabag score at least one goal each.
Newcastle v Qarabag odds
• Newcastle – 11/100 with Bet365
• Draw – 9/1 with Bet365
• Qarabag – 18/1 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change