Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
For Qarabag, simply reaching the knockout play-off round is historic, but if they are to progress to the last 16, they must make even more history by beating English opposition for the first time in Europe.
Standing in their way are Newcastle United, who are navigating their own milestone moment as they prepare for their first-ever Champions League knockout tie.
Eddie Howe’s side arrive in Baku injury-hit and facing the longest away trip ever undertaken by an English club in the competition (2,529 miles).
Qarabag v Newcastle tips
• Qarabag to score – 33/50 with Bet365
• Over 1.5 goals – 1/5 with Bet365
• Both teams to score – 4/5 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Qarabag to score
Despite being underdogs, Qarabag have shown they can trouble top opposition at home. They held Chelsea to a 2-2 draw in Baku earlier in the competition and have scored 2+ goals in six successive European home matches.
Their Champions League games this term have averaged a remarkable 4.25 goals per game. Newcastle, meanwhile, have kept just two clean sheets in 16 Champions League away games and have conceded five of their seven goals in this season’s competition after half-time.
With Newcastle travelling a record distance without key midfielder Bruno Guimaraes, this is far from a routine assignment for the Magpies. Hence, backing Qarabag to get on the scoresheet at 33/50 looks well supported.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Qarabag scores at least one goal against Newcastle.
Over 1.5 goals
Qarabag have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last six Champions League games, while Newcastle’s attacking output has been impressive, scoring 17 goals in this season’s competition.
With both sides making their knockout-stage debut and defensive vulnerabilities evident, particularly from the Azerbaijani champions, at least two goals looks highly probable.
Given that Qarabag’s matches average well above two goals per game, over 1.5 at 1/5 appears a safe foundational pick.
Tip: Over 1.5 goals @ 1/5
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least two goals in the game between Qarabag and Newcastle.
Both teams to score
Qarabag’s home form in Europe has been productive, while Newcastle have conceded regularly on their travels in continental competition.
Furthermore, 76% of Newcastle’s Champions League goals this season have involved Anthony Gordon or Harvey Barnes. With both players fit and available to play, they would be eager to get on the scoresheet and increase their tally.
Camilo Durán, who has scored four times in this campaign, gives Qarabag a focal point capable of punishing defensive lapses. With both sides boasting attacking quality but showing defensive fragility, both teams to score at 4/5 offers strong value.
Tip: Both teams to score @ 4/5
Bet explanation: This bet wins if each of Qarabag and Newcastle score at least a goal each.
Qarabag v Newcastle odds
• Qarabag - 11/2 with Bet365
• Draw - 4/1 with Bet365
• Newcastle - 21/50 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Discover the Best Betting Bonuses
If you’re looking to take advantage of the Champions League matches for your bets, Flashscore is here to help. On our betting bonuses page, you’ll find some of the best promotions and bonus codes on the market.
The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change