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The Whites begin a new European campaign with José Mourinho returning to their dugout. The Portuguese manager has a special relationship with Europe’s top competition and boasts an impressive 66.7% win rate with Real Madrid in the Champions League (24 wins in 36 matches), second only to Carlo Ancelotti at the club. After three emphatic wins over Espanyol, Real Sociedad and Málaga in the domestic league, the hosts are looking to bounce back from their recent league slip and assert the authority Mourinho brings against his former side.
Meanwhile, Inter Milan arrive with Christian Chivu at the helm, who was actually a starter under Mourinho in the historic Champions League final that the Italians won at this very venue in 2010. Although the ‘Nerazzurri’ have had standout performers like Hakan Çalhanoğlu leading line-breaking passes in the final third (9.3 per 90 minutes) and have added English internationals such as John Stones, Curtis Jones and Djed Spence, their recent record in Europe’s top competition has been poor, losing five of their last six Champions League fixtures.
Real Madrid v Inter Milan tips
Both teams NOT to score - 5/4 @ bet365
Real Madrid to score between 2 and 5 goals - 4/7 @ bet365
Real Madrid (-1.5): 6/4 @ bet365
Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.
White defensive solidity and ‘Nerazzurri’ drought
For the first recommendation, the historical record is overwhelming. Inter Milan have lost and failed to score in each of their last three UEFA Champions League matches against Real Madrid. In fact, Los Blancos have won all four head-to-head meetings between the two clubs in this competition so far this century.
Adding to this dominant record, the Italian side are on a poor run in the competition, having suffered defeats without scoring in several of their most recent European outings. Given the defensive solidity required for a top-level clash at the Bernabéu, the chances of at least one team failing to score are very high at odds of 2.20.
Tip: Both teams NOT to score - 5/4 @ bet365
Bet explanation: This bet wins if at least one of the two teams (or both) fails to score any goal during the match.
Guaranteed scoring efficiency
For the second tip, the Whites’ scoring stats under the Portuguese manager are undeniable. With José Mourinho in charge, Real Madrid have found the net in 97% of their UEFA Champions League matches (35 out of 36), the highest percentage ever recorded by any club in the tournament’s history with more than 20 games under a single manager.
What’s more, the star duo of Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior have led Europe’s attacking output over the past five years. The French striker has scored 70 goals in 98 Champions League matches (22 of them for Los Blancos) and is just one goal away from equalling Raúl González (71) as the fifth-highest scorer in history. Meanwhile, the Brazilian leads the competition with 22 assists since the 2021/22 season. With such firepower, the 2 to 5 home goals range looks highly achievable.
Tip: Real Madrid to score between 2 and 5 goals - 4/7 @ bet365
Bet explanation: The bet wins if Real Madrid score exactly 2, 3, 4 or 5 goals in total during the match.
White dominance by a comfortable margin
For the third prediction, we’re basing it on the performance gap and the urgency with which the Madrid squad approach the match. Madrid are the team Inter have faced most often in European competition this century without ever managing a win (four defeats in four matches).
In contrast to the Milan side’s continental struggles — with five defeats in their last six Champions League games — the emphatic nature of Real Madrid’s victories under their manager suggests a comfortable win is on the cards. The Asian handicap -1.5 option backs the home side to win by two or more goals.
Tip: Real Madrid (-1.5): 6/4 @ bet365
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Real Madrid beat Inter Milan by a margin of two or more goals (for example, 2-0, 3-1, 3-0).
Real Madrid v Inter Milan odds
Real Madrid win - 8/13 @ bet365
Inter Milan win - 4/1 @ bet365
Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.
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