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Pep Guardiola’s side are now just 90 minutes away from booking a place in their first EFL Cup final in five years, and history suggests they rarely falter at this stage of the competition.
However, Man City will not be taking anything for granted. Defensive lapses have crept into their game recently, most notably at the weekend when they surrendered a two-goal lead to draw with Tottenham.
Newcastle also possess the pace and directness to punish any complacency on the counter, which means City must remain alert despite their commanding aggregate lead.
Manchester City v Newcastle tips
• Over 1.5 goals – 4/25 with Bet365
• Manchester City or Draw – 11/50 with Bet365
• Antoine Semenyo to have 1+ shot on target – 18/25 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Over 1.5 goals
Guardiola’s side have won all four of their EFL Cup matches this season by a two-goal margin, including the 2-0 victory in the first leg.
Newcastle, meanwhile, have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 competitive away games, suggesting they will struggle to keep City quiet.
With the visitors needing to take risks, over 1.5 goals at 4/25 looks a safe foundation bet.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if two or more goals are scored in the game between Man City and Newcastle.
Man City or draw
City don’t need to chase this game; they only need to avoid defeat by two goals or more, and their home record strongly favours that outcome.
They’ve lost just one of their last 17 home matches in all competitions (W14, D2) and have progressed from each of their last six EFL Cup semi-finals, lifting the trophy every time.
Newcastle’s away form is a concern too, with just two domestic away wins since October. Backing City or a draw at 11/50 covers a controlled home performance.
Tip: Manchester City or Draw @ 11/50
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Manchester City avoids defeat against Newcastle in the EFL Cup semi-finals.
Semenyo to have 1+ shot on target
Antoine Semenyo looks well placed to register another effort on target. He managed one shot on target in the first leg, and his confidence will be boosted after scoring against Tottenham at the weekend.
Since joining City, Semenyo has recorded five goal contributions in five appearances (G4, A1) and boasts an excellent record against Newcastle, with four goal involvements and no defeats in seven meetings.
At 18/25, one shot on target for the in-form Ghanaian forward feels well within reach.
Tip: Antoine Semenyo to have 1+ shot on target @ 18/25
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Antoine Semenyo plays at least one shot on target against Newcastle.
Man City v Newcastle
• Manchester City – 71/100 with Bet365
• Draw – 31/10 with Bet365
• Newcastle – 31/10 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.