With the title fight between Ajax and PSV possibly getting decided this Wednesday, let's take a look at the status quo ahead of a crucial Eredivisie weekend.
1. Ajax (74 points, +33 GD)
Remaining schedule:
Wednesday, May 14th: FC Groningen (9.) - AJAX (20.00 CET)
Sunday, May 18th: AJAX - FC Twente (5.) (14.30 CET)
The weekend before the final two games of the season, Ajax dropped their third game in a row by losing 3-0 to NEC Nijmegen. This loss, the first to NEC in a home game in club history, diminished Ajax's lead and put PSV just one point adrift.
Wednesday's game against FC Groningen, who impressed recently with 4-1 and 6-1 wins over Heracles Almelo and RKC Waalwijk, will prove to be crucial as a sold-out Euroborg will support 'their' FC Groningen after a 3-0 defeat away at AZ. Ajax were victorious on their last two trips to Groningen, but lost the two games in the North before that. One thing is clear: only a seventh-straight win over FC Groningen would cancel out the noise of the past few eeks.
Ajax will close out the season against FC Twente, who are guaranteed a spot in the play-offs for European football and won two of the previous four meetings with Ajax.
2. PSV (73 points, +59 GD)
Remaining schedule:
Wednesday, May 14th: PSV - Heracles Almelo (12.) (20.00 CET)
Sunday, May 18th: Sparta Rotterdam (11.) - PSV (14.30 CET)
PSV started their sprint to the finish line off in spectacular fashion, beating Feyenoord 3-2 after coming back from a 2-0 deficit. Igor Paixao and Givairo Read put the home side up 2-0 after just ten minutes, but a second-half comeback, capped off by a 100th-minute winner from Noa Lang, got PSV back to within one point of league leaders AJax.
Heracles Almelo, who long were one of the best-performing teams in 2025, have won just two of their last seven Eredivisie games and will be PSV's second-to-last opponents of the 2024/25 season.
Sparta Rotterdam, who surprised Ajax in Amsterdam by grabbing a point, have massively improved since the turn of the year and have lost just one of their last eight games.
Championship scenarios
Ajax beat FC Groningen, Heracles Almelo beat PSV
After losing to NEC, Ajax could still win the league by winning out, but they will need a massive confidence boost in order to do so. The first possible moment Ajax could win the league will be on Wednesday evening when FC Groningen will be their opponents.
Beating FC Groningen would have to be paired with a miracle: a Heracles win in Eindhoven. Heracles have won just one of their last 39 meetings with PSV and have never won away in Eindhoven.
Other scenarios
Ajax beat FC Groningen, PSV and Heracles draw
Ajax extend their lead to three points, requiring them to beat FC Twente on Sunday or PSV to drop points against Sparta Rotterdam in order to win the league. PSV's goal difference will remain untouchable.
Ajax beat NEC, PSV beat Heracles
One point will be the difference between the two sides on the final day of the season. All to play for on Sunday.
Ajax and FC Groningen draw, PSV beat Heracles
PSV overtake Ajax as the league leaders and will win the league by beating Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday. Ajax's 9-point lead will be completely gone and the Amsterdam side will finish a third-straight season without a prize.
Ajax and FC Groningen draw, Heracles beat PSV
Ajax expand their lead to two points and would still need to beat FC Twente in order to win the league on Sunday.
FC Groningen beat Ajax, PSV beat Heracles
PSV take a two-point lead and will win the Eredivisie with a win over Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday.
FC Groningen beat Ajax, PSV and Heracles draw
PSV take the lead by merit of goal difference and will win the league with a win over Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday.
FC Groningen beat Ajax, Heracles beat PSV
One point will be the difference between the two sides on the final day of the season. All to play for on Sunday.