Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur have huge advantages heading into the semi-final second legs in the Europa League.
Chelsea also have one foot in the Conference League final but Fiorentina and Real Betis looks like a much closer tie, which could go all the way.
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With the finals on the horizon for both competitions, we dive into the stats, analyse the odds, and make some savvy bets as we break down the potential outcomes of all selected matches.
UEL: Manchester United - Athletic Club, Thursday, 8:00 pm
It’s surprising to see “over 2.5 goals” offered at 9/10 odds on bet365, considering the recent history between Manchester United and Athletic Club. Their last five meetings have produced a total of 22 goals - an average of 4.4 per game - with United scoring 12 and conceding 10. Each of those encounters has seen at least three goals scored.
With Manchester United holding a commanding 3-0 lead, the tie appears all but settled in their favour as they look set to progress to the Europa League final. However, Athletic Club are unlikely to go down without a fight, which could result in another high-scoring contest.
United have been prolific in this season’s UEFA Europa League, netting 31 goals-more than any other team. Only in 2002-03 (32) and 2020-21 (34) have they scored more in a single European campaign, underlining their attacking threat.
Bet explanation: The bet wins if at least three goals scored in the Manchester United vs Athletic Club game regardless of the result.
UEL: Bodo/Glimt - Tottenham, Thursday, 8:00 pm
Bodø/Glimt’s late goal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium could prove crucial, giving them hope as they look to overturn a two-goal deficit with at least 90 minutes still to play in Norway.
The Norwegian side have been formidable at home in Europe, winning nine of their last ten matches (including qualifiers) and scoring at least twice in all but one of those outings. With the tie finely poised, Bodø/Glimt are expected to attack from the outset, making “over 2.5 goals” at 61/100 on bet365 an appealing option.
No team in this season’s UEFA Europa League has scored more home goals than Bodø/Glimt, who have netted 19 times on their own turf. Given Tottenham’s attacking prowess and tendency to concede, another high-scoring encounter looks likely as both sides chase a place in the final.
Bet explanation: The bet wins if at least three goals scored in the Bodo/Glimt vs Tottenham game regardless of the result.
UECL: Chelsea - Djurgarden, Thursday, 8:00 pm
Djurgarden were outclassed at home in the first leg, falling 4-1 to Chelsea and continuing their struggles with just eight points from their last six matches. The Swedish side have found form hard to come by, while Chelsea are hitting their stride, winning four consecutive games and displaying impressive cohesion under Enzo Maresca.
Even if Maresca opts to rotate his squad for the return leg, Chelsea’s depth and quality should see them comfortably control proceedings. The “half time/full time” market at 1/2 on bet365 reflects their strong position, especially given their track record: Chelsea have advanced from all 16 previous European ties after winning the first leg away from home.
With a dominant first-leg performance and a formidable record at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea are overwhelming favourites to progress to the final.
Tip: Half time/ Full time = Chelsea/Chelsea @1/2
Bet explanation: The bet wins if at least Chelsea leads Djurgarden at half time and then also lead the match at full time. An example is Chelsea leading 1-0 at half time and increasing the lead to 2-0 at full time.
UECL: Fiorentina – Real Betis, Thursday, 8:00 pm
Fiorentina welcome Real Betis to Florence for a decisive UEFA Europa Conference League semi-final second leg, trailing 2-1 after a closely contested first match in Seville, where Betis’ clinical finishing made the difference.
The Italians, aiming for a third consecutive final in this competition, boast an impressive home record-unbeaten in their last 13 Conference League matches at the Stadio Franchi and undefeated in 24 of their last 27 games in the tournament
Real Betis, meanwhile, arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 matches and without an away defeat since February. Both sides have shown a consistent attacking threat: Fiorentina have seen both teams score in four of their last five games, while Betis have had both teams find the net in each of their last six, making “both teams to score” at 18/25 on bet365 a strong consideration.
Expect Fiorentina to push forward from the outset as they look to overturn the deficit, but Betis remain dangerous on the counter, setting the stage for an open and entertaining contest with a place in the final at stake.
Tip: Both Teams to Score@18/25
Bet explanation: The bet wins if both Fiorentina and Real Betis each score at least one goal in regular time.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.