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The first leg between these sides was a truly bizarre affair, with Porto dominating from the first whistle to the last.
They created 2.16 of xG, fashioned five ‘big chances’ and forced Forest goalkeeper Stefan Ortega to make seven saves.
But, for all that, Porto only managed to score one… while their defender, Martim Fernandes, somehow contrived to net one of the most ridiculous own goals you are ever likely to see from a full 30 yards out.
If the pattern of play is the same on Thursday, Porto will take some stopping… so what do Forest have up their collective sleeve in front of their own supporters?
Nottingham Forest v Porto tips
Porto to Qualify @ 6/5 (bet365)
Porto/Draw Double Chance & Under 4 Goals @ 20/21 (bet365)
Team with Most Shots: FC Porto @ 6/5 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
On the road
As this is the second leg of a knockout round game, there are more betting markets for punters to explore.
There are the classic match result categories, in which Porto look a tempting 12/5 to win inside 90 minutes, as well as the ‘to qualify’ market, which asks us to predict who will progress to the semi-finals by any means.
And it’s the Portuguese side that holds most appeal here. Porto are, quite simply, the best team in Portugal. They played Forest off the park in the first leg, and while ceding home advantage here, there’s still enough evidence to suggest they will prove too strong for their hosts.
That said, we can hedge our risk somewhat by backing Porto to qualify for the semis… as opposed to winning this game inside 90 minutes.
Tip: Porto to Qualify @ 6/5 (bet365)
Explanation: For this bet to land, Porto have to qualify from this game for the semi-finals – be it in 90 minutes, after extra time or penalties.
Doubling up
A variation on the theme is available in this double at a shade under even money.
It’s a selection that is predicated upon Porto winning or drawing this second leg – we’ve outlined reasons above for such bullishness in that regard, as well as this being a relatively low-scoring contest.
There have been just two goals on the pair of occasions that these sides have met in 2025/26 (2-0 and 1-1). Porto are excellent defensively, conceding just 14 in 29 Liga Portugal games and seven in their eight Europa League group outings.
Meanwhile, you have to go back to December to find the last time that Forest scored two or more goals on home soil.
Tip: Porto/Draw Double Chance & Under 4 Goals @ 20/21 (bet365)
Explanation: For this bet to land, we’re looking for Porto to win or draw the game (after 90 minutes), as well as three or fewer goals to be scored.
Following the signal
Porto have won the shot count in both of their matches with Nottingham Forest this season: 10-8 and 16-6, respectively.
It’s a surprise, therefore, that the Portuguese side are the underdog in the ‘most shots’ market.
In the first leg, Porto’s opener was cancelled out just two minutes later by Forest’s unconventional equaliser, so for 88 minutes plus the contest was a level game state.
So for Porto to win the shot count 16-6… well, perhaps that’s a signal of their superiority.
Tip: Team with Most Shots: Porto @ 6/5 (bet365)
Explanation: Our bet lands if Porto take more shots than Forest.
Nottingham Forest v Porto: Match result odds
Nottingham Forest: 5/4 (bet365)
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.