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Having conceded 16 goals without reply fromm games against Bayern Munich and Benfica, Auckland City’s tournament has been a harsh lesson in the gulf between Oceania’s best and the elite of world club football. Still, with nothing to lose, they will hope to trouble Boca Juniors’ defense and finish their campaign on a positive note.
For Boca Juniors, this fixture is all about survival and ambition. The Argentine giants know that a win alone may not be enough to secure a knockout place, as goal difference could prove decisive in a tightly contested Group C.
After drawing 2-2 with Benfica and narrowly losing 2-1 to Bayern Munich, Boca have shown they can compete, but they must now chase both points and goals to keep their hopes alive. With Benfica’s superior goal difference and a tough match against Bayern still to play, Boca Juniors will approach this clash against Auckland City with maximum urgency, aiming for a convincing victory that could make all the difference in the race for the next round.
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Auckland City – Boca Juniors, Tuesday, 8:00 pm
Auckland City v Boca Juniors tips
• Miguel Merentiel to score (most booking points) – 11/50 with Bet365
• Boca Juniors to win to nil (most booking points) – 11/50 with Bet365
• Over 3.5 goals expected – 7/50 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Miguel Merentiel to score
Auckland City concede goals for fun and so it’s just a question of who scores for Boca Juniors. Miguel Merentiel is their primary goal threat and with goals expected, he is likely to score.
The Uruguayan striker has been a standout performer for Boca Juniors in the 2025 season, scoring six goals in 18 league matches with an impressive goals-per-90-minutes ratio of 0.66, placing him in the top 1% of players in the Argentine Primera División for scoring efficiency.
Merentiel scored with his only shot and only touch inside the opponent’s box against FC Bayern Munich once again highlighting his efficiency. With many chances to come his way against Auckland City, he is likely to get on the score sheet against Auckland City, where he is priced at 11/50 on Bet365 to find the net.
Tip: Miguel Merentiel to score @11/50
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Miguel Merentiel scores against Auckland City.
Boca Juniors to win to nil
Auckland City has lost nine consecutive matches in the FIFA Club World Cup (including previous formats), last avoiding defeat in a 1-1 draw with Cruz Azul of Mexico, winning on penalties in the third-place play-off in 2014.
The Oceania side just cannot compete at this level with amateur players, as the majority of their games have looked like “boys vs men”. They’ve barely troubled any opponent defensively, only managing three shots on target and an Expected Goals (xG) tally of 0.15 in both games.
Through two matches in the FIFA Club World Cup, Auckland City have conceded twice as many goals (16) as they’ve managed touches in the opponent’s box (8). This makes Boca Juniors to win to nil at 11/50 on Bet365 a good option.
Tip: Boca Juniors to win to nil @11/50
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Boca Juniors beat Auckland City while keeping a clean sheet.
Over 3.5 goals expected
Auckland City have been the whipping boys of Group C, suffering a 10-0 defeat to Bayern Munich and a 6-0 defeat to Benfica. In those two games, Auckland City have conceded 63 shots which shows how vulnerable they are at the back.
It’s expected that the Oceania side will improve and get more accustomed to the stage; however, the gulf in quality remains the same and they will concede a number of goals against Boca Juniors. The Argentine side have scored in every FIFA Club World Cup match they’ve played, including the previous format (6 goals across four matches).
With goal difference likely to play a role in who joins Bayern Munich in the knockout round from Group C, over 3.5 goals at 7/50 odds on Bet365 looks very attractive.
Tip: Over 3.5 goals expected @7/50
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least four goals in the game between Boca Juniors and Auckland City.
Auckland City v Boca Juniors odds
• Auckland City – 50 with Bet365
• Draw – 28 with Bet365
• Boca Juniors – 3/500 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.