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This eagerly anticipated clash between two historic clubs will take place at Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium, kicking off at 23:00 BST. Both sides know the importance of this fixture as they aim to keep pace with group favorites Bayern Munich and secure a spot in the knockout stages.
Boca Juniors, South America’s iconic giants, will be eager to showcase their attacking prowess and test their mettle against European challengers Benfica, who bring a rich history and tactical discipline to the tournament.
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Boca Juniors v Benfica, Monday, 23:00 BST
Boca Juniors v Benfica
• Benfica to win – 3/4 with Bet365
• Goalfest expected (most booking points) – 19/20 with Bet365
• Pavlidis to shine – 1/4 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Benfica to win
This match marks the first-ever competitive meeting between Boca Juniors and Benfica, and notably, the first between Argentine and Portuguese clubs in FIFA Club World Cup history.
Historically, European teams have dominated encounters with South American sides at this tournament’s previous format: all four Argentina vs Europe matches ended in European victories, including AC Milan’s 4-2 win over Boca Juniors in 2007 and Barcelona’s 3-0 triumph against River Plate in 2015.
Benfica enter the tournament on the back of an outstanding 2024/25 Portuguese Primeira Liga campaign, where they scored 84 goals, second only to Sporting CP, and boasted the best shot conversion rate (14.7%) and highest expected goals tally (79.9).
Boca Juniors qualified as the second-best eligible team in the CONMEBOL four-year ranking and are known for their possession-based style, but Boca’s recent form shows vulnerabilities, including a narrow 0-1 loss to Independiente where they struggled to convert chances and maintain possession dominance.
Given Benfica’s clinical finishing, creative midfield, and historical edge of European clubs over South American teams in this competition, the 3/4 odds on a Benfica win are well supported.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Benfica beat Boca Juniors regardless of the scoreline.
Goalfest expected
Twelve of Benfica’s last 15 games have featured three or more goals, and Boca Juniors have shown attacking potential despite some defensive lapses.
With an open game expected, the odds of both teams to score at 19/20 on bet365 looks appealing. Boca Juniors have quality forwards like Edinson Cavani and Miguel Merentiel, and Benfica have scored in 29 of their last 30 matches.
While, Benfica’s attacking threat is spearheaded by Vangelis Pavlidis, who netted 19 goals and assisted seven, and creative midfielder Orkun Kökçü, who led the league with 76 chances created and was involved in 14 goals himself.
European teams have dominated South American sides in FIFA Club World Cup encounters, often producing high-scoring games and it’s likely there will be another goalfest.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least three goals in the game between Benfica and Boca Juniors.
Palvidis to shine
Pavlidis has been in sensational form throughout the 2024-25 season, playing 34 matches and scoring 19 goals with 7 assists in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.
He averages 2.56 shots per 90 minutes, placing him in the 97th percentile for shots taken in the league, and boasts an impressive shot accuracy of 58%. His shot conversion rate sits above 30%, meaning he scores roughly once every 3.3 shots.
The Greek striker’s ability to get into goal-scoring positions is supported by his high volume of shots on target (36 out of 62 total shots) and being supported by creative players like Kökçü, who led the league with 76 chances created.
Pavlidis’ knack for taking multiple shots per game makes the 1/4 odds on him playing three or more shots a highly attractive and justified bet.
Tip: Pavlidis to play at least three shots @ 1/4
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Pavlidis plays at least three shots in the game between Benfica and Boca Juniors.
Boca Juniors v Benfica odds
• Boca Juniors – 7/2 with Bet365
• Draw – 27/10 with Bet365
• Benfica – 3/4 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.