Barcelona v Sevilla: La Liga predictions, best bets and odds

Barcelona face Sevilla in La Liga with some great betting opportunities
Barcelona face Sevilla in La Liga with some great betting opportunitiesFlashscore

Barcelona host Sevilla as they look to keep Real Madrid at bay in the race for the La Liga EA Sports title. The Catalonians, caught up in a tense Champions League tie against Newcastle, face a somewhat inconsistent Sevilla side who come into the match only six points clear of the relegation zone, but with plenty of quality, as they showed in their 4-1 win earlier in the season.

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Barcelona welcome Sevilla with memories of the heavy defeat in the reverse fixture still fresh for both sets of fans. The Catalonians will be able to play at the Camp Nou, which will host up to 62,000 fans for the first time since renovation work began, after receiving the necessary permits this week.

With an important election day for the club, a large turnout of Barça members is expected. Almeyda’s side will be looking to take advantage of the off-field distractions and the Champions League tie against Newcastle to spoil what is a doubly significant day for the hosts. Here are our predictions for the match.

Barcelona v Sevilla tips

Barcelona to win and score between two and four goals – 4/6 @ bet365

The match will have between three and six goals – 1/2 @ bet365

Over 2.5 goals and Barça to score in the second half – 10/21 @ bet365

Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.

Barça to win with between two and four goals

Barça return home after a week on the road, with matches in Bilbao and Newcastle, and have now had a few days to recharge their batteries. Flick’s side will play at home, in a festive atmosphere, and as the best home team in La Liga EA Sports. They have a perfect record at home and are expected to capitalise on that advantage (with even more fans this time). Barça have won their last 12 home league games, scoring between two and four goals in each, a run that also extends to their last 12 home matches in all competitions.

Lamine Yamal celebrates his goal with Raphinha
Lamine Yamal celebrates his goal with RaphinhaMATTHIEU MIRVILLE / MATTHIEU MIRVILLE / DPPI VIA AFP

Tip: Barcelona to win and score between two and four goals – 4/6 @ bet365

Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Barça win and score between two and four goals in the match.

Between three and six total goals

Barça’s last 12 home games in all competitions have ended with three, four, five or six total goals. Since the 6-1 win over Olympiacos in the Champions League, every home match has fallen within this range, as have all but one of their home league games (the 2-0 win over Osasuna). In addition, three of Sevilla’s last four away games have seen similar numbers, as have six of the last seven meetings between these sides and 14 of Sevilla’s last 19 official visits to Barcelona.

Tip: The match will have between three and six goals – 1/2 @ bet365

Bet Explanation: This bet wins if the match ends with more than two and fewer than seven total goals, regardless of who scores them.

Three or more total goals and a Barça goal in the second half

Both teams are among the sides with the most matches featuring over 2.5 total goals in the league. Barça lead the way, with 22 out of 27 (12 of 13 at home), while Sevilla are sixth, with 16 out of 27 (eight of 13 away). On top of that, Barça have scored in the second half in 15 of their 16 home matches in all competitions this season (the only exception being the game against PSG in the Champions League). Sevilla have conceded after the break in eight of their last 10 away games, and in each of their last five visits to Barcelona. Last year’s meeting at Barça’s ground, which ended 5-1 to Flick’s side, would have made this bet a winner.

Tip: Over 2.5 goals and Barcelona to score in the second half – 10/21 @ bet365

Bet Explanation: This bet wins if there are three or more total goals in the match and Barcelona score at least once after the break, regardless of the final result.

Odds for Barcelona v Sevilla

Barcelona win – 1/4 @ bet365

Draw – 11/2 @ bet365

Sevilla win – 9/1 @ bet365

Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.

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Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.