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Real Madrid head into matchday 26 needing to bounce back after their league slip-up against Osasuna, a defeat that saw them relinquish the top spot. However, their European win over Benfica (2-1) has restored confidence in Álvaro Arbeloa’s side, who return to the Santiago Bernabéu, where they have been almost unstoppable: 18 wins in their last 20 home league games and seven consecutive official victories at home, scoring 23 goals in that run. Historically, their dominance over Getafe is overwhelming: 16 straight home wins in La Liga and eight consecutive head-to-head victories, with four clean sheets in a row.
Getafe, meanwhile, come into this one in 13th place and have shown decent form in recent weeks (two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches). José Bordalás’ side are unbeaten in their last three away league games, but the step up in quality required to get a result at the Bernabéu is significant. The Azulones tend to keep things tight: five of their last six matches were goalless at half-time, and four of their last five away games ended with exactly two goals in total.
Real Madrid v Getafe tips
Four or more saves by Soria – 1/2 @ bet365
Under 8.5 Getafe shots – 4/7 @ bet365
Real Madrid to win both halves – 2/1 @ bet365
Home advantage and time to step up
The context clearly points to a demanding night for David Soria. Real Madrid average 2.3 goals per game against Getafe in their recent league meetings and have scored 23 goals in their last seven official matches at the Bernabéu. What’s more, they have opened the scoring before the 20th minute in three of their last four home league games, showing their intent to attack from the outset.
On top of that, Getafe are missing key defenders (Djené is suspended and there are doubts over Abqar), making it even more likely that Madrid will rack up shots. Although the Azulones usually compete well away from home (three consecutive away games unbeaten), that often means long spells defending deep. Against a side that needs to win to keep up in the title race, Madrid’s shot count should be high, making four or more saves from Soria a very reasonable line.
Tip: Four or more saves by Soria – 1/2 @ bet365
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if David Soria makes four or more saves.
Low attacking output and few chances conceded
The match is likely to see Real Madrid dominate possession. At the Bernabéu, they have won 18 of their last 20 league games and have conceded just 0.4 goals per game against Getafe in recent meetings. They have also kept clean sheets in the last four head-to-heads. When Madrid score first, they know how to control the tempo and limit risks.
Getafe, for their part, are used to low-tempo games with few chances. Five of their last six matches were goalless at half-time, showing a cautious approach. Away from home, their priority is organisation and staying competitive rather than attacking. In a match where they are likely to see little of the ball and spend little time in the opposition half, getting more than nine shots away looks a tall order.
Tip: Under 8.5 Getafe shots – 4/7 @ bet365
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Getafe do not have nine or more shots during the match.
Tempting odds
Real Madrid’s home dominance over Getafe is clear: 16 consecutive home wins in La Liga and eight straight wins overall. In four of the last five home games against Getafe, Madrid scored exactly two goals, showing a pattern of control and efficiency without the need for big scorelines. If they get an early lead – something that’s become common at the Bernabéu – the game could really open up.
What’s more, the competitive context means Madrid can’t afford to take any risks. They are just one point off the top, and cannot have a repeat of the loss in their last league game. Against a Getafe side that struggles to attack against the big teams and is missing key defenders, a scenario where Madrid dominate for the full 90 minutes is very likely. If Madrid sets the pace from the start and keeps up the intensity after the break, the 2/1 odds for them to win both halves offer real value based on recent trends and the competitive context.
Tip: Real Madrid to win both halves – 2/1 @ bet365
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Madrid win both the first and second half.
Odds for Real Madrid v Getafe
Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.
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Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.