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The Villans still have plenty to play for in the league as a win here would secure their Champions League place for next season, but the European final understandably complicates their selection and could take the edge off their performance at Villa Park.
Liverpool arrive looking to rediscover their best form after a frustrating 1-1 draw at home to Chelsea last weekend.
Arne Slot’s side have had a difficult season by their own high standards, but they retain a four-point buffer to sixth place and a win here would go a long way to securing their top-five finish.
With the Reds unbeaten in 17 Friday fixtures, winning the last nine in a row, a Friday night kick-off could be the ideal setting for them to get back to winning ways.
Both sides have a Champions League spot to fight for from different positions, making this one of the most consequential fixtures of the final weekend. Villa’s likely rotation, however, may tip the balance in Liverpool’s favour as they look to make a case for a top-four finish before the season concludes.
Aston Villa v Liverpool, Friday, 20:00 BST
Aston Villa v Liverpool tips
• Both teams to score – 11/25 with Bet365
• Over 7 corners – 11/50 with Bet365
• Liverpool win or draw (double chance) – 2/5 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Both teams to score
Four of Aston Villa’s last five home league matches have seen both sides find the net, and eight of Liverpool’s last nine Premier League games have featured goals at both ends.
Ollie Watkins has been in exceptional form, racking up 12 goal contributions in his last 13 appearances across all competitions, and John McGinn is just one goal shy of a personal best of 10 for the season. Even with a rotated Villa side, their attacking quality is formidable, and Liverpool have lost eight away games this season, their most since 2011/12, suggesting they are not impenetrable on the road.
On the other side, Liverpool have scored two or more goals in each of their last eight Premier League away trips to Villa Park. At 11/25 on Bet365, both teams to score is a well-priced reflection of what this fixture reliably delivers.
Tip: Both teams to score @ 11/25
Bet explanation: This bet wins if both Aston Villa and Liverpool score at least one goal each during the match.
Over 7 corners
Both teams generating corners is almost a certainty when sides of this attacking quality meet, and the market at 11/50 on Bet365 reflects just how strongly the evidence points in this direction. Five of Villa’s last seven matches produced over 2.5 goals, a sign of open, attack-minded football that naturally leads to a high corner count.
Similarly, Liverpool’s persistent pressure and wing-based attacking play under Arne Slot creates sustained set-piece opportunities throughout games.
Villa have historically been a set-piece threat at home, and Liverpool are a team that presses high and forces corners through their attacking movement. Over seven corners is a strong favourite for good reason with the statistics and the context both pointing firmly in the same direction.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if eight or more corners are taken in total during the match.
Liverpool win or draw (double chance)
Liverpool’s double chance at 2/5 on Bet365 represents the most logical safety net in this fixture given everything at play. Aston Villa have won just one of their last 16 Premier League encounters with Liverpool and have won just one of the last 11 at Villa Park against the Reds.
The rotation factor is the key variable here. With the Europa League final just five days away, Unai Emery is expected to rest key players, which could significantly weaken Villa’s chances of a home win.
Liverpool are also unbeaten in 17 Friday night fixtures, winning the last nine in a row. The double chance removes the risk of an unexpected draw while still offering a meaningful return at 2/5.
Tip: Liverpool win or draw (double chance) @ 2/5
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Liverpool either beat Aston Villa or the match ends in a draw.
Aston Villa v Liverpool odds
• Aston Villa – 187/100 with Bet365
• Draw – 14/5 with Bet365
• Liverpool – 6/5 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.