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A frustrating 1-0 defeat at Leeds last week, which saw Brighton concede from the opposition’s only shot on target, means the Seagulls must do it the hard way at the Amex.
Three consecutive home wins have set the platform, but Brighton have never managed four in a row in the top-flight, making this a genuine test of nerve as much as quality.
Manchester United arrive having already secured their third-place finish, meaning the pressure is largely off Michael Carrick’s side.
However, there is one compelling individual subplot keeping United’s interest alive as Bruno Fernandes needs just one more assist to break the all-time Premier League record for most assists in a single campaign, surpassing Thierry Henry and Kevin De Bruyne’s joint mark of 20.
Brighton boast the highest win rate against United of any club in the competition, and remarkably, none of the 17 meetings between these sides have ever finished level. Something has to give at the Amex, and with Brighton pushing hard and United’s record-chasing captain in inspired form, this promises to be a fitting end to the season.
Brighton v Manchester United, Sunday, 16:00 BST
Brighton v Manchester United tips
• Over 2.5 goals – 1/2 with Bet365
• Senne Lammens to make 3+ saves – 2/5 with Bet365
• Both teams to score – 1/2 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Over 2.5 goals
A league-high 27 of Manchester United’s games this season have featured both teams scoring. Brighton, needing to win, will be committed to attack from the first whistle, which means the game is unlikely to be a cagey affair.
Brighton’s Danny Welbeck, in the form of his career with 13 Premier League goals this season, lines up against his former employers and has scored eight times against United across his career in all competitions. Meanwhile, Bryan Mbeumo has been involved in eight Premier League goals against Brighton across his last five starts against them (five goals, three assists).
With Brighton pressing high in search of a result and United’s attacking players relishing the space that creates, over 2.5 goals at 1/2 on Bet365 is a well-priced reflection of what this fixture consistently delivers.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 1/2
Bet explanation: This bet wins if three or more goals are scored in the match between Brighton and Manchester United.
Senne Lammens to make 3+ saves
Senne Lammens has been kept extremely busy in Manchester United’s recent Premier League fixtures, making 17 saves across their last five league games, an average of 3.4 per match.
That level of shot-stopping activity is almost certain to continue here against a Brighton side playing for their European lives and coming off three consecutive home wins in which they have been the dominant attacking force.
At 2/5 on Bet365, the market has clearly identified this as a likely outcome, and the underlying data makes it difficult to argue against. Brighton will shoot early and often in pursuit of the win they need, and United’s goalkeeper will be called upon to earn his keep. Three saves are a low bar for a keeper who has been exceeding it consistently in recent games.
Tip: Senne Lammens to make 3+ saves @ 2/5
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Senne Lammens makes three or more saves during the match.
Both teams to score
Both teams to score is the natural companion to the over 2.5 goals pick. A league-high 27 United games this season have featured both sides finding the net.
Brighton, on the other hand, have avoided defeat in nine of the 19 league matches in which they conceded first this season.
United have kept a first-half clean sheet in five straight games, but with Brighton pressing relentlessly for a result of this magnitude, it is hard to see the net staying undisturbed at the Amex end. Both teams to score at 1/2 on Bet365 is a firm favourite for good reason.
Tip: Both teams to score @ 1/2
Bet explanation: This bet wins if both Brighton and Manchester United score at least one goal each during the match.
Brighton v Manchester United odds
• Brighton – 9/10 with Bet365
• Draw – 3/1 with Bet365
• Manchester United – 5/2 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.