This article contains affiliate links to advertisers. The analysis is our own. Gamble Aware 18+
Enzo Maresca’s side now travel to Turf Moor, a venue where they have historically dominated, and face a Burnley team still battling for consistency.
Scott Parker’s men sit just above the relegation zone and have struggled at both ends of the pitch, making this an uphill assignment as the Blues look to extend their impressive away run.
Burnley v Chelsea, Saturday, 12:30 GMT
• Chelsea to win - 12/25 with Bet365
• Over 1.5 Total Goals - 1/4 with Bet365
• Both Teams to Score - 19/20 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Chelsea to win
Chelsea come into this one with momentum firmly on their side, having won their last two league games to nil and going five unbeaten away from home (W4, D1).
Their record at Turf Moor is one of the most one-sided head-to-heads in the league having won eight of nine Premier League away games against Burnley, including the last six straight. Even more impressively, they have scored 3+ goals in each of their last five visits to Turf Moor.
Burnley’s numbers make Chelsea’s price at 12/25 with Bet365 look even more justified. The Clarets have kept just two clean sheets in their last 31 Premier League games, conceding 64 goals in that stretch, and they sit bottom of the league in virtually every attacking and defensive metric this season - from fewest shots to highest xGA. With Chelsea’s strength in Saturday early kick-offs (seven straight wins at 12:30), all signs point toward the Blues extending the trend.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Chelsea beat Burnley regardless of the score
Over 1.5 Total Goals
This fixture almost always produces goals, and the data strongly backs another high-production game. Across Chelsea’s last six trips to Burnley, matches have averaged 4.3 goals per game, with the Blues contributing the bulk of those.
Chelsea have also seen eight of their nine away league games this season finish with over 2.5 goals, and they have scored a league-leading eight second-half away goals.
Burnley’s defensive numbers ensure they will contribute to an open contest. They’ve conceded 2+ goals in five of their last six matches and are allowing a massive 24.0 xGA, the highest ever recorded by a Premier League team at this stage since Opta began detailed tracking. Given Chelsea alone have the quality to clear the 1.5 line, the 1/4 Bet365 price looks almost a banker.
Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals @ 1/4
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least two goals scored in the game between Burnley and Chelsea.
Both Teams to Score
This pick offers good value considering the patterns of both sides. Chelsea are heavy favourites, but they have not been watertight: despite two recent clean sheets, they have conceded in six of their last nine away fixtures.
Burnley, meanwhile, tend to find a way to get shots away even when losing. Lesley Ugochukwu and Zian Flemming have been bright spots in attack, with the latter scoring three goals in his last four Premier League starts.
Burnley have scored in five of their last six Premier League games at Turf Moor and. Wolves and Spurs both created decent opportunities against the Blues before the break. With BTTS landing frequently in matches involving teams with defensive fragility and attacking transition threat, the 19/20 with Bet365 feels like a well-balanced selection.
Tip: Both Teams to Score @ 19/20
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Burnley and Chelsea score at least one goal each
Burnley v Chelsea odds
• Burnley - 11/2 with Bet365
• Draw - 333/100 with Bet365
• Chelsea - 12/25 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Discover the Best Betting Bonuses
If you’re looking to take advantage of the Premier League matches for your bets, Flashscore is here to help. On our betting bonuses page, you’ll find some of the best promotions and bonus codes on the market.
The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.