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Football fans have barely had time to catch their breath following another dramatic midweek in the UEFA Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League. The battle for Premier League points resumes on Saturday, with Chelsea hosting Everton in one of two games kicking off at 15:00 GMT. Which side will nab a vital three points at Stamford Bridge?
Chelsea enjoy the home advantage and are currently one place higher than their opponents in the pecking order. Victory before their loyal fans would drive the Club World Cup winners towards the top four, closing the gap on leaders Arsenal. Everton are here to spoil the party, knowing an away win would move David Moyes’ team above their hosts and onto 27 points.
Chelsea v Everton is exciting, and we’re sure the fixture will live up to the hype, but which team wins? Experienced football betting writer Frank Monkhouse uses the data available on the Flashscore app to highlight his three recommended bets. You can add your favourites to a bet builder, pick a strong single or take us on with selections of your own.
Chelsea v Everton tips
Under 3.5 goals @ 4/11 (bet365)
Over 8.5 corners @ 4/9 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Back the hosts for a vital win
We’re picking sides in the first of our Chelsea v Everton predictions, backing a win for the locals. Victory for the Blues won’t come easy on Saturday, but Chelsea enjoy the home advantage and backing of a strong support. If the players have recovered from Tuesday’s visit to Italy, they’ll have enough quality and firepower to snatch an important win and three points.
The head-to-head stats show backing Chelsea to beat Everton would’ve landed you a profit when the pair last met at this venue. A goal from Nicolas Jackson with 27 minutes on the clock was enough to secure the win in London that day. Chelsea thrashed Everton 6-0 in the Toffees’ previous trip to the Bridge, with the last three results reading 1-0, 6-0, 2-2.
Everton arrive with confidence and momentum in their work. Moyes and Co. have taken six of the last nine points available. Chelsea have banked just two points in the same period. That makes things more interesting, but we’ll stick with the trends. Everton last beat Chelsea two years ago, but we go back to November 1994 for the Toffees' last win at this venue.
Tip: Chelsea win @ 4/7 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Chelsea beat Everton, you beat the bookies.
Play under 3.5 goals
We move on to the specials for our second pick, wagering that Chelsea v Everton will produce fewer than four goals. When following this pick, it doesn’t matter which team wins, the final score, or who gets the goals. If the match ends with fewer than four goals scored by both teams combined, you’ll make a profit. You’ll find this one in the total goals market.
Why do we fancy under 3.5 goals in a match involving two ambitious and forward-thinking clubs? In a word, stats. Looking at the head-to-head stats available on the Flashscore app and website, we see a bet on under 3.5 landed in eight of the previous ten meetings. That’s too strong to ignore. In that time, we’ve seen four 1-0 scores, including earlier this year.
Switching to the recent form of both clubs, there’s more to get excited about. A wager on under 3.5 goals would’ve boosted your betting balance when Chelsea ended goalless at Bournemouth, drew 1-1 with Arsenal, and beat Burnley 2-0 on the road. Everton have beaten Nottingham Forest 3-0 and Bournemouth 1-0 already this month.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals @ 4/11 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Chelsea v Everton must finish with fewer than four goals scored.
Stats lead us to a strong bet
Our third and final bet is another product of studying the stats. We’re sticking with the specials, backing Chelsea v Everton to produce more than eight corners for both teams combined. You can back this one as a single or add it to your weekend multiples, alongside similar selections. It’s an easy bet to place at the bet365 app, and just as simple to follow.
To support this wager, we focus on Chelsea’s last five home matches in the Premier League. In that period, they’ve suffered a mixed bag of results. The Blues drew 1-1 with Arsenal, a match that produced six corners in total. Chelsea did as expected when beating Wolves 3-0 on a day with 11 corners registered. A 2-1 defeat to Sunderland gave up ten corners.
Going back even further, Chelsea beat Liverpool 2-1 in a gripping contest. As well as the three goals scored, the Blues and Reds created nine corners between them. Then we have the pick of the bunch, Brighton’s famous win at Stamford Bridge. The Seagulls upset the odds to take the points that day, and the match produced a dozen corners.
Tip: Over 8.5 corners @ 4/9 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If this match ends with nine or more corners for both teams combined, you’ll see a handy return.
Chelsea v Everton odds
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.