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Everton have turned their home ground into an awkward venue once again this season, and with Arsenal’s away form stuttering, Mikel Arteta’s side face a genuine examination against a Toffees team still harbouring ambitions of a top-half finish.
Everton v Arsenal, Saturday, 20:00 GMT
Everton v Arsenal tips
• Double chance (Everton or Draw) - 13/10 with Bet365
• Under 3.5 goals - 1/4 with Bet365
• Leandro Trossard to have 1+ shot on target - 53/100 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Double chance (Everton or Draw)
Backing Everton to avoid defeat appeals at generous odds, especially given Arsenal’s recent struggles on the road. Since Arsene Wenger’s departure, the Gunners have won just one of their last seven Premier League visits to Goodison Park (D2, L4), a stark contrast to their historical dominance in this fixture.
Arsenal have also conceded the opening goal in five of their last seven away league games, including each of the last three, leaving them vulnerable against an Everton side that has gone unbeaten in three home matches against teams currently in the top ten.
While Everton have lost all five league matches this season against Champions League sides, those defeats included trips to Tottenham and Newcastle, and Arsenal arrive with only three wins from their last six league outings. With both meetings last season ending level, siding with Everton or the draw at 13/10 with Bet365 looks a sensible way to oppose the short-priced favourites.
Tip: Double chance Everton or Draw @ 13/10
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Everton avoid defeat against Arsenal
Under 3.5 goals
Goals have often been in short supply when Everton and Arsenal meet at Goodison Park, and recent trends suggest another tight contest. Five of Everton’s last seven Premier League matches have produced under 2.5 goals, while Arsenal boast the best defensive record in the division, conceding just 10 league goals all season.
Despite that defensive solidity, the Gunners have developed a habit of late concessions, with 40% of their goals against arriving in the final 10 minutes.
That points towards a cagey affair rather than a shootout, particularly with Everton failing to score freely against top opposition. With Arsenal also winless in three away league games, backing under 3.5 goals at 1/4 with Bet365 looks a low-risk inclusion.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals @1/4
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are fewer than four goals in the game between Everton and Arsenal.
Leandro Trossard to have 1+ shot on target
Few Arsenal players enjoy trips to Goodison Park quite like Leandro Trossard. The Belgian has scored both of Arsenal’s away league goals against Everton across the last two seasons and has been directly involved in nine goals in his last nine away Premier League appearances (six goals, three assists).
Trossard has either scored or assisted in each of his last four away league games and is often deployed in advanced positions when Arsenal look to exploit transitions on the road.
With Arsenal conceding early away from home and needing to chase games, Trossard should see enough of the ball in dangerous areas to test Jordan Pickford at least once. At 53/100 with Bet365, backing him to register a shot on target offers solid value.
Tip: Leandro Trossard to have 1+ shot on target @ 53/100
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Leandro Trossard plays at least one shot on target against Everton.
Everton v Arsenal odds
• Everton – 9/2 with Bet365
• Draw – 3/1 with Bet365
• Arsenal – 3/5 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.