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Saturday brings an exciting five-match programme from the English Premier League. The curtain rises in Dorset, where Bournemouth and Sunderland entertain a big crowd at Dean Court, backed by a global TV audience. We then have Burnley v Brentford, Liverpool v West Ham, and Newcastle v Everton. You can keep pace with the goals at Flashscore.
February finishes on a high with the main event at a packed Elland Road, where Leeds United face off against Manchester City. The locals target a win and all three points to build on a three-match unbeaten run and drive them clear of the relegation zone. Four wins and a draw has the visitors snapping at the heels of long-term EPL leaders Arsenal.
Armchair fans and neutrals are hoping for more of the same after watching these clubs serve up five goals at the Etihad Stadium late in 2025. Pep Guardiola's men beat Daniel Farke's troops 3-2 that day, thanks to a late goal from Phil Foden. Will this renewal bring repeat or revenge? Football betting writer Frank Monkhouse dissects the stats available at Flashscore.
Leeds v Man City tips
Over 2.5 goals @ 8/13 (bet365)
Man City to score first @ 8/15 (bet365)
Both score and Man City win @ 21/10 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Total goals - over 2.5
Despite all major bookmakers pricing an away win as the most likely outcome on Saturday evening under the bright lights, we avoid picking sides. Instead, we open with a play on the total goals, a market that has served us well in the Premier League this season. Traders at bet365 set the bar at 2.5 goals, allowing customers to bet on over or under that number.
The latest head-to-head stats available at Flashscore show the smart play is on Leeds v Man City producing more than two goals from both teams combined. A 3-0 win for Man City is every bit as useful as a 2-2 draw or 2-1 home win. If this game ends with at least three goals scored, you'll secure a profit. The scorers and match-winner aren't important.
A bet on over 2.5 goals landed when the clubs last crossed paths, ending in a 3-2 home win at the Etihad. Going back further, the same bet would've boosted your balance in each of the previous six encounters, a run that began five years ago. In that time, we've seen seven, four, four, three, and five goals scored. Add over 2.5 goals to your weekend accumulators.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 8/13 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Leeds v Man City produces more than two goals from both teams combined, you'll land a healthy profit.
Team to score first - Man City
Moving to the second Leeds v Man City bet worth considering, we're taking the visitors to score first. Again, the match-winner isn't important to this wager. Man City could score inside the opening 60 seconds, as they did when the clubs last met. They could net on 90 minutes, again achieved in the previous encounter. All you care about is Man City making it 1-0.
The H2H stats served us well in the prediction above, and add strength to this pick. Man City scored before Leeds in each of the last five games. Pep's side actually went 2-0 ahead in those five fixtures. That run includes a 3-1 away win when City last visited West Yorkshire. Rodri struck on 45, with Haaland doubling their advantage on 51 minutes.
Let's turn our attention to the recent form of both Leeds and Man City. The home team found themselves 2-0 down when visiting Stamford Bridge last month. They also lost 4-0 at home to Arsenal on the final day of January. Man City broke the deadlock against Newcastle, Fulham, and Tottenham. Back Man City to score the first goal of this exciting showdown.
Tip: Man City to score first @ 8/15 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Man City score to make it 1-0 at Elland Road, your bet wins.
Result/BTTS - Man City and yes
Our third and final wager worth a look has the highest odds attached. We're taking a chance on both teams to score in a Man City win. That means the visitors take all three points back to Greater Manchester, but the locals must find the net at least once in defeat. As you may have guessed, this is another Premier League prediction that's backed by the stats.
Man City win, and both score made followers a profit in the previous three renewals. Included in that run is a 3-1 win at this venue, followed by 2-1 and 3-2 victories at the Etihad Stadium. It's also useful to know that Leeds have found the net at least once in seven of 10 meetings, with City claiming six wins. The odds offered make it worth sticking with that trend.
Both teams to score and Manchester City to win was a profitable bet when Pep's team edged Newcastle United 2-1 last weekend. Nico O'Reilly banked a brace that day, with Lewis Hall scoring a consolation goal for the Magpies. City also struck deep into stoppage time to win 2-1 at Anfield. Farke's defence has conceded in six matches on the bounce.
Tip: Man City win and both score @ 21/10 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need Man City to win, but Leeds to score at least one goal.
Leeds v Man City
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.