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It’s the season of goodwill as a brand new year arrives. Football fans have an exciting 12 months ahead, with the conclusion of the Premier League, UEFA Champions League final, and World Cup 2026 just some of the attractions. We start as we mean to go on with a massive match from the EPL on Thursday evening as Liverpool play Leeds at Anfield.
The home team are pre-match betting favourites to claim a vital three points. Liverpool are the defending champions, but have had their fair share of problems both on and off the field of play this season. Star striker Mo Salah is away on international duty at the African Cup of Nations, meaning those left behind must get the goals needed to fire the Reds up the table.
The legal and licensed online sportsbooks featured at Flashscore offer odds on all this week’s Premier League matches, including Liverpool vs Leeds United. Readers can study the stats and trends available at Flashscore and use their findings to place a prediction that’s influenced by the data. Football betting analyst Frank Monkhouse offers his three best bets.
Liverpool vs Leeds tips
Over 2.5 goals @ 8/13 (bet365)
Liverpool win and both score @ 2/1 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Side with the home win
We kick things off with a bet in the match-winner market, and we’re picking a home win on Merseyside. The match-winner market is the most popular way to gamble on football as it’s easy to place and simple to follow. Pick the team you expect to win, click their odds to add to your bet slip, input a stake, and confirm. If your team wins the game, you beat the bookies.
Following Liverpool this season hasn’t been nearly as popular as it was last term. The Reds have struggled for consistency and have slipped down the pecking order as a result. Liverpool appear to be out of the title race, meaning the Premier League trophy will leave Anfield in spring, barring an incredible turnaround. Can Liverpool swing things in their favour with a fightback?
I expect the locals to get the desired result here, banking a valuable three points. Starting the year with a confidence-boosting win over a rival will help build momentum and belief. Liverpool notched up recent home wins over Brighton, Real Madrid, and Aston Villa, proving there’s still plenty of fight left in the squad. I advise a bet on a strong home win on New Year’s Day.
Tip: Liverpool win @ 1/2 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Liverpool beat Leeds United, your bet is a winner.
More goals at Anfield
We move away from the match-winner betting market and into the specials for our second Liverpool vs Leeds prediction. Taking our lead from the head-to-head stats, we’re trusting this match to produce more than two goals. With this approach, it doesn’t matter which team wins and who scores the goals. As long as we finish with more than two goals scored.
Fortunately, we don’t have to go too far back through the H2H and data to find support for this prediction. Liverpool and Leeds United met in December at Elland Road, with the rivals sharing a remarkable six goals before taking a point each. Interestingly, all six goals came in the second half, with Leeds scoring deep into stoppage time to deny their opponents victory.
Going back further, we see a bet on three or more goals landed in each of the previous five meetings, a run stretching back to September 2021. In that time, Liverpool vs Leeds gave us three, six, three, seven, and six goals. That trend is just too strong for us to ignore.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 8/13 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need Liverpool vs Leeds to produce at least three goals.
Target a winner at great odds
After following the first two Liverpool vs Leeds predictions, you’ll know I fancy a home win, plenty of goals, and even more drama. I’ve saved the biggest price selection for last, going for Liverpool to win and both teams to score. The odds allow you to follow this one as a single or add it to your midweek Premier League accumulators, targeting a big prize.
You won’t be surprised as we return to the stats. Betting on Liverpool to beat Leeds United and both teams to score resulted in a healthy profit when Liverpool thumped Leeds 6-1 in one of their most recent meetings. Their form isn’t perfect, but there are goals in this Liverpool team. They scored two at home to Brighton, and another couple in Stratford.
We’re opposing Leeds, but don’t expect a simple home win. The visitors are involved in a battle at the wrong end of the table, meaning they arrive in desperate need of the points. Leeds scored one goal at Brentford, put three past Liverpool at Elland Road, and famously hammered Chelsea 3-1 early in December. They certainly won’t go down without a fight.
Tip: Liverpool win and both teams to score @ 2/1 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You’re betting on Liverpool to land all three Premier League points, but need Leeds to score at least one goal. Both parts of the bet must land to secure a profit.
Liverpool vs Leeds
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.