It’s matchday six in the English Premier League as Manchester City enjoy home advantage over Burnley. The hosts are unbeaten in two, while their visitors are winless in three. Will Saturday’s match at the Etihad Stadium follow the form? Flashscore’s Frank Monkhouse offers his big-match preview and predictions.
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Manchester City return to the scene of their most impressive performance of the season so far. Pep Guardiola's team hammered Manchester United 3-0 when last at the Etihad Stadium, and now aim for more of the same when Burnley come calling. The home win is red-hot favourite in the pre-match betting with all major bookmakers. Will Man City live up to expectations and deliver a third win in six?
Flashscore's experienced football betting writer Frank Monkhouse previews the match. He dissects the form, highlights the head-to-head stats, and shows the most generous odds and promotions. Keep reading for his Manchester City vs Burnley Premier League preview, including predictions, best bets, and odds. There's everything you need in one place to make stats-led predictions on Saturday's Premier League showdown.
Man City vs Burnley tips
Man City -1 handicap @ 8/15 (bet365)
Haaland to score first @ 11/5 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Hosts a strong pick on Saturday
Our first pick of three at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon is Manchester City to win -1 goal on the handicap. With this approach, you're betting on Man City not just to win the game, but to do it in style. They must beat Burnley by two or more clear goals. A 2-0 home win lands you the profits, as the two goals scored cover the handicap, whereas a 1-0 Man City win makes your pick a losing bet as they didn't cover the -1 goal.
Backing Man City on the handicap would've landed you a profit when they thrashed Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-0 at Molineux on matchday one. It was also a smart bet in their 3-0 over Man Utd here in the derby and a 2-0 against Napoli in the Champions League. Looking at the Man City vs Burnley head-to-head stats, we see the favourites won by two or more goals in each of their last ten games against Burnley. That run stretches back to 2019.
Need a little more convincing? The Clarets enter this match just one point above the relegation zone, with their results showing one win, a draw, and three defeats, with five goals scored and eight conceded. Manager Scott Parker is coming under increasing pressure, and I'm confident Pep and his boys will heap misery on their opponents. Back Man City to win and aim for a better price by trusting them to cover the handicap.
Tip: Man City -1 handicap @ 8/15 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Man City must beat Burnley by two or more clear goals.
Expect goals in this game
Our second pick on Saturday is for Man City vs Burnley to produce three or more goals. You'll find this wager in the total goals market on the bet365 website and mobile app. Traders set the totals line at 2.5 goals, allowing you to bet on more or less than that number. We're backing over 2.5 goals at the Etihad Stadium, and it doesn't matter who scores them or which team wins the points.
You can follow our over 2.5 pick as a single or add it to your weekend Premier League accumulators. Interestingly, a bet on Man City to win 3-0 covers both wagers, landing you the profits of Man City -1 goal on the handicap and over 2.5 goals. The H2H shows that City has scored three goals past Burnley in each of their previous two meetings, winning 3-0 on the road and 3-1 at home during the 2023/24 season. More of the same will do us nicely.
Man City haven't yet hit top gear this season, and it's plain to see there's more to come from the home dressing room. They're ninth in the table after two wins, a draw, and a pair of defeats, but their scoring stats caught our eye. City have hit the net nine times in five games, that's more than half of the eight teams above them on the ladder. Take over 2.5 goals and hope these sides deliver attacking football.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/9 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need three or more goals to be scored in this game from both teams combined.
Stick with the strike sensation
Our third and final bet in this match sees us follow the goal machine, Erling Haaland. The towering striker has scored five goals in Man City's last three meetings with Saturday's opponents. He landed a hat-trick in a 6-0 FA Cup win here in 2023 and added a couple more at Turf Moor in a 3-0 Premier League away win in August 2023.
Focusing on his stunning stats for this season, Haaland has fired 13 goals in eight games for club and country. That purple patch includes five goals for Norway in an 11-1 win over Moldova. Erling also broke the deadlock inside nine minutes at the Emirates Stadium last weekend. He fired his team into a 1-0 lead against the run of play, powering clear of the defence and knocking the ball past the Gunners' goalkeeper. Back Haaland to score first against Burnley.
Tip: Haaland to score first @ 11/5 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Haaland makes it 1-0 to Man City, you get the rewards.
Man City vs Burnley odds
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.