This article contains affiliate links to advertisers. The analysis is our own. Gamble Aware 18+
Pep Guardiola’s men cannot afford further slip-ups, especially at the Etihad, where they have been relentless.
Nottingham Forest’s recent history here offers little encouragement. Since returning to the Premier League in 2022/23, Forest have lost all three away league games at Manchester City without scoring, conceding 11 goals in the process.
In fact, their three Premier League visits to the Etihad have ended in an aggregate 11-0 defeat, one of only three instances a side has conceded 10+ goals at a ground in the competition without scoring.
Manchester City v Nottingham Forest tips
• Manchester City to win – 19/50 with Bet365
• Over 2.5 goals – 57/100 with Bet365
• Antoine Semenyo to play 1+ shot on target – 3/10 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Manchester City to win
City have won four of their last five Premier League meetings with Forest and were 2-1 winners earlier this season at the City Ground.
At home, they have won 16 of their last 19 league matches (D2 L1), at least three more than any other side since April 2025.
Forest boss Vítor Pereira remains winless in the Premier League this season across his spells (D2 L10), and his side’s struggles away to City are well documented. Given the hosts’ dominant Etihad record and Forest’s poor head-to-head numbers, City to win at 19/50 looks a strong foundation bet.
Tip: Manchester City to win @ 19/50
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Manchester City beats Nottingham Forest regardless of the score.
Over 2.5 goals
Forest’s three Premier League trips to the Etihad since promotion have produced 11 City goals without reply, highlighting the potential for another high-scoring encounter.
While 39% of City’s league wins this season have come by a single-goal margin, including 2-1 and 1-0 victories in their last two outings, their home scoring power remains formidable. Under Guardiola, City have averaged 2.85 points per game at home on Wednesdays, often combining results with attacking fluency.
Given Forest’s defensive issues in this fixture and City’s need to keep pressure on Arsenal, over 2.5 goals at 57/100 is well supported by recent data.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least three goals scored in the game between Manchester City and Nottingham Forest.
Antoine Semenyo to play 1+ shot on target – 3/10 (Bet365)
Antoine Semenyo is in strong form, registering at least one shot on target in each of his last five matches. He has attempted 11 shots across those games, which is further proof of his growing confidence in front of goal.
With Erling Haaland potentially rested due to a knock, Semenyo could be handed the opportunity to lead the line. His direct style and willingness to shoot early make him a consistent threat, particularly against a Forest defence that has struggled badly at the Etihad.
At 3/10, backing him to test the goalkeeper at least once aligns with his recent output and expected role.
Tip: Antoine Semenyo to play 1+ shot on target @ 3/10
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Antoine Semenyo plays at least one shot target against Nottingham Forest.
Manchester City v Nottingham Forest odds
• Manchester City – 19/50 with Bet365
• Draw – 4/1 with Bet365
• Nottingham Forest – 13/2 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Discover the Best Betting Bonuses
If you’re looking to take advantage of the Premier League matches for your bets, Flashscore is here to help. On our betting bonuses page, you’ll find some of the best promotions and bonus codes on the market.
The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.