What are the chances of Newcastle qualifying for the Champions League or Sunderland winning the title? Using Opta data, Flashscore has compiled the probability of each team winning the Premier League, qualifying for the Champions League or Europa League, as well as being relegated to the Championship in the 2025/26 season.
Following their dramatic late win over Liverpool, Crystal Palace now have a 41.72% chance of qualifying for the Champions League at the end of the season according to the Opta supercomputer, while Brighton have a 16.14% probability following their dramatic 3-1 win at Chelsea on Saturday.
Liverpool and Arsenal remain favourites to lift the trophy (46.44% and 35.03% respectively), but the odds are increasing on Man City (9.68%) with Palace the next most likely on 3.92%.
In the battle to avoid the drop, Sunderland have a 29.91% chance of finishing in the bottom three despite their outstanding start to the season, with Leeds on 28.89%.
Wolves (62.52%), Burnley (62.19%) and West Ham (44.63%) remain favourites to play in the Championship next season based on current form.
Scroll down below to see how each Premier League team fares after matchday six.
Qualifying for the Europa Conference League depends on other factors, including winning the EFL Cup, so it has not been included below.
Liverpool
Current position: 1st
Champions: 46.44%
Champions League: 93.11%
Europa League: 3.15%
Relegation: 0.01%
Arsenal
Current position: 2nd
Champions: 35.03%
Champions League: 89.13%
Europa League: 4.57%
Relegation: 0%
Crystal Palace
Current position: 3rd
Champions: 3.92%
Champions League: 41.72%
Europa League: 12.95%
Relegation: 0.26%
Tottenham
Current position: 4th
Champions: 0.78%
Champions League: 13.65%
Europa League: 7.78%
Relegation: 2.24%
Sunderland
Current position: 5th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.40%
Europa League: 0.40%
Relegation: 29.91%
Bournemouth
Current position: 6th
Champions: 0.70%
Champions League: 14.55%
Europa League: 8.40%
Relegation: 1.91%
Man City
Current position: 7th
Champions: 9.68%
Champions League: 63.69%
Europa League: 10.89%
Relegation: 0.09%
Chelsea
Current position: 8th
Champions: 1.20%
Champions League: 22.15%
Europa League: 11.17%
Relegation: 0.86%
Everton
Current position: 9th
Champions: 0.09%
Champions League: 4.56%
Europa League: 3.79%
Relegation: 8.08%
Brighton
Current position: 10th
Champions: 0.75%
Champions League: 16.14%
Europa League: 9.07%
Relegation: 1.79%
Fulham
Current position: 11th
Champions: 0.16%
Champions League: 3.86%
Europa League: 2.93%
Relegation: 9.57%
Leeds
Current position: 12th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.44%
Europa League: 0.70%
Relegation: 28.89%
Brentford
Current position: 13th
Champions: 0.08%
Champions League: 3.94%
Europa League: 3.16%
Relegation: 8.95%
Man Utd
Current position: 14th
Champions: 0.12%
Champions League: 3.48%
Europa League: 3.09%
Relegation: 10.25%
Newcastle
Current position: 15th
Champions: 0.49%
Champions League: 14.97%
Europa League: 8.77%
Relegation: 2.38%
Aston Villa
Current position: 16th
Champions: 0.55%
Champions League: 12.56%
Europa League: 7.31%
Relegation: 2.78%
Nottingham Forest
Current position: 17th
Champions: 0.01%
Champions League: 1.20%
Europa League: 1.27%
Relegation: 22.69%
Burnley
Current position: 18th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.09%
Europa League: 0.16%
Relegation: 62.19%
West Ham
Current position: 19th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.26%
Europa League: 0.34%
Relegation: 44.63%
Wolves
Current position: 20th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.10%
Europa League: 0.10%
Relegation: 62.52%