Following their dramatic 1-0 win over Burnley on Sunday, Liverpool have a 51.12% chance of winning the title while Arsenal are second favourites on 26.74%, despite cruising to a 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest.
Aston Villa are currently 19th in the Premier League table after a 0-0 draw at Everton, but they have a 10.04% chance of qualifying for the Champions League, while Tottenham have a 16.04% chance of doing the same after an impressive 3-0 win at West Ham.
At the other end of the table, defeat for Man Utd against their city rivals means they now have a higher probability of being relegated (10.95%) than finishing in the top five (7.33%).
A 1-0 defeat to Newcastle has seen Wolves' probability of being relegated to the Championship grow to 50.76%, with Burnley on 52.23%.
Scroll down below to see how each Premier League team fares after matchday four.
Qualifying for the Europa Conference League depends on other factors, including winning the EFL Cup, so it has not been included below.
Liverpool
Current position: 1st
Champions: 51.12%
Champions League: 91.87%
Europa League: 3.51%
Relegation: 0%
Arsenal
Current position: 2nd
Champions: 26.74%
Champions League: 81.52%
Europa League: 6.27%
Relegation: 0.03%
Tottenham
Current position: 3rd
Champions: 1.04%
Champions League: 16.04%
Europa League: 8.15%
Relegation: 2.53%
Bournemouth
Current position: 4th
Champions: 1.30%
Champions League: 18.37%
Europa League: 8.52%
Relegation: 1.98%
Chelsea
Current position: 5th
Champions: 7.87%
Champions League: 51.95%
Europa League: 11.32%
Relegation: 0.16%
Everton
Current position: 6th
Champions: 0.32%
Champions League: 8.03%
Europa League: 4.53%
Relegation: 6.14%
Sunderland
Current position: 7th
Champions: 0.01%
Champions League: 0.31%
Europa League: 0.27%
Relegation: 46.02%
Man City
Current position: 8th
Champions: 6.51%
Champions League: 48.93%
Europa League: 11.60%
Relegation: 0.33%
Crystal Palace
Current position: 9th
Champions: 1.98%
Champions League: 23.66%
Europa League: 10.36%
Relegation: 1.39%
Newcastle
Current position: 10th
Champions: 1.70%
Champions League: 23.16%
Europa League: 10.22%
Relegation: 1.45%
Fulham
Current position: 11th
Champions: 0.14%
Champions League: 3.59%
Europa League: 2.86%
Relegation: 12.79%
Brentford
Current position: 12th
Champions: 0.14%
Champions League: 4.31%
Europa League: 3.38%
Relegation: 10.63%
Brighton
Current position: 13th
Champions: 0.38%
Champions League: 9.19%
Europa League: 5.80%
Relegation: 4.68%
Man Utd
Current position: 14th
Champions: 0.18%
Champions League: 4.18%
Europa League: 3.15%
Relegation: 10.95%
Nottingham Forest
Current position: 15th
Champions: 0.09%
Champions League: 3.73%
Europa League: 2.76%
Relegation: 12.12%
Leeds
Current position: 16th
Champions: 0.01%
Champions League: 0.25%
Europa League: 0.37%
Relegation: 44.92%
Burnley
Current position: 17th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.19%
Europa League: 0.21%
Relegation: 52.23%
West Ham
Current position: 18th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.50%
Europa League: 0.60%
Relegation: 36.06%
Aston Villa
Current position: 19th
Champions: 0.47%
Champions League: 10.04%
Europa League: 5.92%
Relegation: 4.83%
Wolves
Current position: 20th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.18%
Europa League: 0.20%
Relegation: 50.76%