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The English Premier League enters round 12, with matches running from Saturday afternoon through to Monday evening. The curtain goes up at Turf Moor, where Burnley host Chelsea in a game you can follow live from 12:30 BST. There are five matches in the 15:00 slot, before Newcastle play Man City at St James' Park, broadcast live on television.
Super Sunday brings a double-header, with Leeds United and Aston Villa going head-to-head at Villa Park, before the North London Derby from the Emirates Stadium. On Monday evening, Man Utd aim for another win when playing Everton in what promises to be a thrilling 90 minutes, with David Moyes back at the Theatre of Dreams.
Who will be the big winners and losers this weekend? The leading online bookmakers offer generous betting odds on a long list of eye-catching markets. Flashscore's experienced betting writer, Frank Monkhouse, returns with his Premier League Gameweek 12 best bets. He's studied the stats and trends, flagged up the value, and settled on his strongest picks.
Burnley vs Chelsea, Saturday, 12:30 BST
Burnley and Chelsea herald the arrival of week 12 when meeting at Turf Moor in Saturday's early kick-off. The Clarets know they face a huge challenge, and do so sitting dangerously close to the relegation zone. Before kick-off, the home team is in 17th, level on ten points with West Ham in the bottom three. Home fans know their side must improve, and fast.
Chelsea lack consistency. The Blues are third in the table, with their stats showing six wins, two draws, and three defeats, scoring 21 goals and conceding 11. A closer look at their numbers shows the Londoners have found the net more times than leaders Arsenal, but have leaked more than Crystal Palace down in midtable. They must tighten up at the back.
Burnley have lost each of their last two and four of their previous six. Chelsea have won their last couple and claimed a dozen points from the last 18 available. The visitors beat Spurs 1-0 on the road and thrashed Wolves 3-0 before the international break. Confidence is growing in the camp, and I'm happy to support Chelsea for a third win on the bounce.
Tip: Chelsea win @ 8/15 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Chelsea beat Burnley at Turf Moor, your bet wins.
Bournemouth vs West Ham, Saturday, 15:00 BST
Moving to the always-popular Saturday 15:00 kick-offs, we check in on Bournemouth, who play West Ham United. The Cherries start the round in ninth place, but lost each of their last two before the break. Defeats to Man City and Aston Villa dragged Bournemouth down the pecking order, but they're capable of a quickfire response.
It has been another torrid start to the season for West Ham United. The team from East London are currently stuck in the bottom three, facing the increasing risk of relegation to the Championship. The Hammers won their previous two games, but have claimed only three victories this season, and already have seven defeats, including three in five.
Neither side fill backers with confidence ahead of this match. Bournemouth are much higher in the table, hold the home advantage, and boast a stronger defence. That will make the difference. West Ham will feel like they've turned a corner, but the break came at the wrong time. Both teams scored in four of the previous five meetings, and I expect more goals here.
Tip: Both teams to score @ 3/4 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need Bournemouth and West Ham to score at least one goal each.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday, 15:00 BST
Pick of the Saturday 15:00 starts comes from Anfield, where Liverpool play Nottingham Forest. The champions could lose their title this season, and that's looking increasingly likely with every poor performance. Arne Slot's team have lost five of their last six. That's incredible, given just how strong they were in their title-winning season.
Few teams welcome a trip to Anfield, especially when the home side is under pressure, but Nottingham Forest have good reason to be confident. The Tricky Trees know all about their opponent's problems, but also take heart from their recent results, taking four of the last six points available. Forest drew with Man Utd, before beating Leeds United at Elland Road.
Despite arriving on Merseyside on a two-match unbeaten run, Nottingham Forest are second from the bottom of the league. The visitors have won only two games all season, drawing three and losing six. The visitors have already conceded 20 goals, double the number they've scored. Liverpool aren't great just now, but they are good enough to beat Forest.
Tip: Liverpool win @ 12/25 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Liverpool manage to defeat Nottingham Forest at Anfield, you'll beat the bookies.
Newcastle vs Man City, Saturday, 17:30 BST
Our final pick on Saturday comes in the headliner, as Newcastle United welcome Manchester City to St James' Park. The Magpies and Citizens face off before a sold-out stadium and a global TV audience from 17:30, but which team will win? The locals lost their last two before the break, beaten 3-1 at West Ham and by the same scoreline at Brentford.
Manchester City didn't exactly hit the ground running this season, but Pep Guardiola's team are improving with every match, growing into the challenge. They arrive on Tyneside second in the EPL and just four points behind leaders Arsenal. An away win would ramp up the pressure on the Gunners, who host Tottenham on Sunday afternoon in a tense derby.
Newcastle lost their last two before the break, while Man City won their two games. They are on the road, but Pep's side take confidence and belief from that stunning 3-0 win achieved over Liverpool on matchday 11. City have played three games so far this month, beating Bournemouth, Borussia Dortmund, and Liverpool with room to spare. I fancy an away win.
Tip: Man City beat Newcastle @ 1/1 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You'll boost your betting balance if Man City beat Newcastle.
Leeds vs Aston Villa, Sunday, 14:00 BST
The first of two games this Sunday comes from Elland Road, where Leeds United play Aston Villa in a tie you can follow live on TV. The home team bring stats of three wins, two draws, and six defeats, scoring ten goals, but conceding 20. They are just a point above the relegation zone, and the fans are beginning to grow restless. Three points are a must here.
Aston Villa started the campaign poorly, but they have begun to find their feet. The team from Birmingham climbed to six in the charts following five wins and a defeat in six. The visitors are level on points with Tottenham, and just four points behind Man City in second. Winning at Elland Road won't be easy, but Villa are the form side and hope to make it count.
Aston Villa finished last season unbeaten in two games against Sunday's opponents. The rivals drew 0-0 here last October, before Villa banked a 2-1 home win earlier this year. Games are often tight, but Leeds haven't beaten Aston Villa in five, stretching back to 2021. They must be at their best, but I'm backing the team higher in the league with better form.
Tip: Aston Villa win @ 13/10 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If the full-time result shows an away win for Aston Villa, you'll get the returns.
Arsenal vs Tottenham, Sunday, 16:30 BST
We finish our Premier League gameweek 12 article with a tantalising North London Derby at the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal are top of the league, enjoy the home advantage over their rivals, and have lost only one game in 11. Mikel Arteta's side are looking every inch a title contender, and they can prove it beyond doubt with a derby win to excite their supporters.
Tottenham would love nothing more than to dent their great rivals' chances of winning the EPL title by taking three points back to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The visitors start four places below their hosts in the division, winning only two of their previous six league games. Winless in two, Spurs lost 1-0 to Chelsea, before drawing 2-2 with Man Utd.
Anything can and often does happen in derbies, especially in this fixture. That pays to keep it simple and follow the stats. Arsenal are the home team, enjoy the backing of the support, and are performing much better than their opponents. The Gunners also won their last three against Spurs, and haven't lost this fixture in 2022, a run of six derbies. Stick with that form.
Tip: Arsenal win @ 19/50 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Bookmakers will settle your bet as a winner and pay the profits if Arsenal out-score Tottenham in Sunday's derby.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.