This article contains affiliate links to advertisers. The analysis is our own. Gamble Aware 18+
Round 13 of a fascinating and often unpredictable Premier League season dominates our thinking this weekend. A full ten-match programme is evenly split across Saturday and Sunday, with the best of the action broadcast on television and the top livestreams. Which sides will secure an important three points heading into a hectic December?
There's no early kick-off this weekend. Lovers of English football's top-tier have three games in the traditional and fan-friendly 15:00 GMT start time, including Man City v Leeds United. Armchair fans enjoy two evening games, with Everton hosting Newcastle, before Spurs play Fulham in an intriguing London derby, with both clubs in desperate need of a result.
Crystal Palace and Manchester United get things moving on Sunday from noon. You'll also enjoy West Ham v Liverpool, with Chelsea and Arsenal meeting in a top-of-the-bill showdown at Stamford Bridge. Keep reading as Frank Monkhouse leads you through the most important stats and trends at Flashscore before settling on his best bets.
Manchester City v Leeds, Saturday, 15:00 GMT
Manchester City play their second big match of the week following Tuesday's meeting with Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League. The locals sit third in the table and should provide a challenge to current leaders Arsenal, using their experience to make things uncomfortable for the Gunners. Pep's team did lose 2-1 at Newcastle last weekend.
Leeds head to the Etihad Stadium, stuck in the relegation zone following a woeful run of results. They've lost five of their previous six, winning the spare. Leeds have taken none of the last nine points available, losing 3-0 at Brighton, 3-1 at Nottingham Forest, and 2-1 to a resurgent Aston Villa less than a week ago. The pressure is building on the visitors.
Both teams suffered defeat last time out, meaning there's a need to respond and make a quickfire return to winning ways. Man City certainly didn't cover themselves in glory at St James' Park, but the home team thrashed Bournemouth and Liverpool here earlier this month. City are favourites for the win, and I'm backing them to deliver the goods.
Tip: Man City win @ 1/4 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Man City beat Leeds, you beat the bookies.
Everton v Newcastle, Saturday, 17:30 GMT
Saturday evening's live match pairs two teams that have kept fans guessing for much of this season. The Toffees lack consistency, sitting 11th in the EPL with stats of five wins, three draws, and four defeats. David Moyes' crew have scored 13 goals in their opening 12 games, but have also conceded 13. Fans dream of a third win on the bounce.
Newcastle, like their opponents, haven't found things easy in the early part of this campaign. The Magpies are involved in Champions League action and visited French Ligue 1 side Marseille on Tuesday evening. There will be a few tired legs in the away dressing room, and a European hangover is a real possibility. They've won three and lost three of their last six.
Confidence is sky high in the Everton camp after they secured a stunning and rare win over Manchester United at Old Trafford on Monday night. Moyes' men left the Theatre of Dreams with all three points thanks to a winning goal from Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. They achieved that result despite playing most of the match with 10 men. Stick with the form team at home.
Tip: Everton or draw @ 8/15 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Everton avoid defeat on Saturday evening, you'll bank a profit.
Tottenham v Fulham, Saturday, 20:00 GMT
The main attraction from Saturday's Premier League schedule sees Spurs and Fulham meet in an exciting London derby at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The home team is another that faced a tough Champions League match, visiting Paris just a few days ago. Spurs lost 4-1 at the Emirates Stadium last Sunday, meaning they're winless in three at this level.
Fulham make the short trip from Craven Cottage, determined to pile pressure on their toiling hosts. Marco Silva's team beat Sunderland 1-0 on matchday 12 and have won two of their previous three. Despite those positives, the Cottagers have lost four of their last six and are dangerously close to the relegation zone. Will they cause a big upset live on television?
Looking at the latest form and figures available on the Flashscore app, neither Spurs nor Fulham fill backers with confidence. Instead, we lean on the head-to-head stats in an attempt to solve this puzzle. A bet on under 3.5 goals would've landed you a profit in both of the meetings last season. Going back further, it was also a smart bet in the previous ten. That's strong enough.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals @ 4/11 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need Tottenham v Fulham to produce fewer than four goals from both teams combined.
Crystal Palace v Manchester United, Sunday, 12:00 GMT
Moving to Sunday, and we get going early with Crystal Palace welcoming Man Utd to Selhurst Park for a showdown you can follow live on TV from noon. The Eagles are holding their own in the EPL, and a three-match unbeaten run has lifted them into the top five.
Manchester United are still licking their wounds from that humiliating home defeat to Everton six days ago. With the Toffees reduced to ten men after just 13 minutes, many expected an easy win and important three points. But things rarely go to plan for the United loyal. That defeat brought an end to an impressive unbeaten run of three wins and two draws.
Palace sit five places higher than United in the Premier League table, but there are only two points between the pair. With Palace in Conference League action on Thursday, Man Utd enjoyed almost a week to reflect on their recent dip in form. Can they turn things around in the UK capital? They'll be fresher, and it will show.
Tip: Man Utd or draw @ 8/15 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You'll bank a profit if the match ends in an away win or a draw.
Aston Villa v Wolves, Sunday, 14:05 GMT
Sunday's schedule has three games starting at 14:05, which is great news for bettors who enjoy building accumulators and chasing big wins off small stakes. The match that caught our eye comes from Villa Park, where Aston Villa host Wolverhampton Wanderers. The home team are in the top four, thanks to five wins in their last six starts, including two in a row.
Things couldn't have gone much worse for Wolves in their opening 12 matches. The visitors arrive stuck hard to the bottom of the league, with their stats making for miserable reading. Wolves have failed to win an EPL match from a dozen attempts, drawing two and losing 10. They've scored just seven goals and conceded 27. I'm confident it'll get much worse here.
It's easy to make a strong case for Aston Villa winning at the moment, especially when hosting the worst team in the division. Wolves are showing no signs of turning things around anytime soon. There are many ways to bet on Villa v Wolves at the leading betting apps, but we'll keep it simple. Back the home team to win, delight their fans and bank three points.
Tip: Aston Villa win @ 8/15 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You want to see Aston Villa take all three points on Sunday afternoon.
Chelsea v Arsenal, Sunday, 16:30 GMT
Premier League schedulers save the best for last, as Arsenal face a second huge derby in two games when visiting Stamford Bridge. Chelsea start in second place, just six points behind the current pace-setters and Sunday's opponents. A home win for the Club World Cup champions would blow the title race wide open, making things interesting this winter.
Arsenal lead from the front, and have done so for much of this campaign. Mikel Arteta's men can make a huge statement by beating Chelsea at the Bridge to open a nine-point gap over the chasing pack. Victory across the city on Sunday won't secure silverware, but it would show once again that the Gunners can handle the heat of a Premier League title race.
There's all to play for here, with both managers knowing the value of a win and three points. I expect both teams to score. Chelsea have won their last three and five of their previous six. They also enjoy home advantage for the second time this week after hosting Barcelona on Tuesday. Chelsea and Arsenal drew 1-1 when they last met at this venue.
Tip: Both teams to score @ 7/10 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Chelsea and Arsenal must score at least one goal each to win this bet.
Discover the Best Betting Bonuses
If you're looking to take advantage of the Premier League matches for your bets, Flashscore is here to help. On our betting bonuses page, you'll find some of the best promotions and bonus codes on the market.
The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.