The English Premier League returns for Matchday 30 after an eventful international break and FA Cup quarterfinal action. Clubs are gearing up for a crucial set of fixtures that could shape the title race, European qualification spots, and the relegation battle.
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This matchday offers intriguing storylines across the board. Teams like Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace, Manchester City and Aston Villa will need to quickly shake off fatigue from their FA Cup commitments, while others such as Arsenal and Manchester United aim to capitalize on fresher legs after a break.
Key fixtures include Liverpool hosting Everton in a fiery Merseyside derby at Anfield, Arsenal taking on Fulham at the Emirates, and Chelsea facing Tottenham Hotspur at the Stamford Bridge.
We dive into the stats, analyse the odds, and make some savvy bets as we break down the potential outcomes of selected games.
Arsenal – Fulham, Tuesday, 7:45 pm
Arsenal boast an extraordinary record against Fulham at home, having never lost in 31 league meetings. With 24 wins and seven draws, this fixture represents the longest unbeaten home run by one team against another in English Football League history.
Following a much-needed international break, the Gunners return refreshed, while Fulham may feel the effects of their FA Cup quarterfinal involvement over the weekend. Mikel Arteta’s side is expected to start strong, leveraging their fresher legs and historical dominance.
Despite Arsenal’s occasional slip-ups this season, their odds of victory have dropped to 21/50 at bet365—an unexpectedly low figure given their formidable home form. Fulham, on the other hand, have won five of their last eight Premier League matches and will arrive with confidence. However, Arsenal’s strength at the Emirates and their ability to bounce back after breaks should prove too much for Marco Silva’s men to overcome.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Arsenal beats Fulham regardless of the score.
Nottingham Forest – Manchester United, Tuesday, 8:00 pm
Manchester United are on the cusp of achieving back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time this season, but their trip to the City Ground promises to be a stern test. Nottingham Forest, brimming with confidence, sit in third place and are firmly in contention for Champions League qualification. Fresh off securing a spot in the FA Cup semi-finals, Forest have also triumphed in their last two meetings against United, including a thrilling 3-2 win at Old Trafford earlier this season.
While Forest's form and home advantage make them formidable opponents, Manchester United have shown a knack for stepping up when least expected. Ruben Amorim’s side enters this clash buoyed by recent victories over Real Sociedad and Leicester City, but injuries to key players remain a concern. Meanwhile, Forest may face fatigue after enduring over 120 minutes of grueling FA Cup action against Brighton last weekend.
The tight nature of this contest is reflected in the odds, with bet365 offering 13/10 for a Forest win and 2/1 for United to claim victory. As both teams prepare for a pivotal encounter, the potential return of several injured United players could add intrigue to what promises to be a closely fought battle. Therefore, a wait-and-see approach could be wise.
Tip: No bet
Bournemouth – Ipswich Town, Wednesday, 7:45 pm
Despite Bournemouth's FA Cup quarter-final defeat to Manchester City, Andoni Iraola will take pride in his team's spirited first-half performance. If the Cherries can replicate that intensity against Ipswich Town, they have a strong chance of ending their four-game winless streak in the Premier League.
Although Bournemouth’s odds to win stand at 9/25, reflecting their recent struggles, history is on their side—they’ve never suffered four consecutive top-flight defeats at the Vitality Stadium. Backing Iraola’s men to secure all three points seems a sensible choice, given their underlying stats. Bournemouth have generated an impressive expected goals (xG) total of 53.8 this season, trailing only Liverpool and Chelsea.
Their ability to create chances consistently could prove decisive against an Ipswich defense that has been porous throughout the campaign. With Ipswich struggling near the bottom of most defensive metrics, this matchup presents an ideal opportunity for Bournemouth to rediscover their winning form.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Bournemouth beats Ipswich Town regardless of the score.
Brighton – Aston Villa, Wednesday, 7:45 pm
When two attack-minded teams collide, goals are almost guaranteed. Brighton and Aston Villa have both scored and conceded in 20 of their 29 Premier League matches this season, a stat only surpassed by Fulham, whose games have seen both teams score 21 times.
With such consistent attacking output from both sides, the odds of 1/2 for both teams to score on bet365 offer an appealing and safer alternative to picking a winner in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup.
History also favors goals in this fixture—four of the last five meetings between Brighton and Villa have seen both teams find the net. Bettors can expect fireworks as these two sides meet with plenty of attacking quality on display.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if both Brighton and Aston Villa each score in the game.
Manchester City – Leicester City, Wednesday, 7:45 pm
Erling Haaland limped off with an ankle injury during Manchester City’s victory over Bournemouth last weekend and is unlikely to be fit for their upcoming clash against Leicester City. This is a significant blow for City, as Haaland has been their go-to scorer, especially against a Leicester side that has the second-worst defense in the Premier League, conceding 16 goals in their last six league matches.
With Haaland sidelined, attention turns to Omar Marmoush, who impressed by scoring after coming off the bench against Bournemouth. Marmoush’s odds to score on bet365 stand at an enticing 6/5, making him a strong alternative.
The Egyptian forward has proven his prowess at the Etihad Stadium, with all four of his Premier League goals this season coming at home.
Tip: Omar Marmoush to score @6/5
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Omar Marmoush scores against Leicester City
Liverpool – Everton, Wednesday, 8:00 pm
The Merseyside derby often delivers a closer contest when Everton hosts, but at Anfield, Liverpool have historically dominated. The Reds have lost just one of their last 24 home Premier League games against Everton (W14 D9), winning five of the last six encounters at Anfield.
This dominance, coupled with Liverpool’s league-best home record this season—amassing 35 points from 15 matches—gives them a clear edge heading into the derby.
Everton may be unbeaten in their last nine Premier League games, but they face a daunting challenge against Mohamed Salah, who has been directly involved in eight goals in his last seven Premier League Merseyside derbies against Everton (6 goals, 2 assists).
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Liverpool beats Everton regardless of the score.
Chelsea – Tottenham, Thursday, 8:00 pm
Chelsea's historical dominance over Tottenham sets the stage for an intriguing London derby. The Blues have been a thorn in Spurs' side, losing just once in their last 12 Premier League encounters (W9 D2) and winning the last three with an impressive aggregate score of 10-4. This long-standing supremacy is further emphasized by Chelsea's record of 36 Premier League victories and 120 goals against Tottenham—more than against any other opponent
While bet365 offers odds of 61/100 for a Chelsea win, these may seem conservative given the historical context and current form. The Blues are riding a wave of confidence, having secured victories in their last four Premier League matches at Stamford Bridge.
With the potential return of key players like Nicolas Jackson and the in-form Cole Palmer, Chelsea's attack looks poised to continue their scoring streak against Spurs.Conversely, Tottenham's away form has been a cause for concern, as they currently hold the dubious distinction of being the team with the third-most away defeats this season.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Chelsea beats Tottenham regardless of the score.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.