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The battle for places in Europe continues to intensity with just five points separating 3rd and 7th. Potentially, 8th place could also guarantee a place in Europe depending on how the season ends leaving room for more competition.
We dive into the stats, analyse the odds, and make some savvy bets as we break down the potential outcomes of selected games.
Manchester City – Wolves, Friday, 8:00 pm
Manchester City have enjoyed a commanding record against Wolves at the Etihad, winning eight of their last nine Premier League home encounters, with the only exception being a 2-0 defeat in October 2019.
This time, however, Wolves arrive in Manchester with renewed confidence, riding a six-match winning streak in the Premier League. City themselves are in strong form, unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions.
While City are clear favourites with odds of 33/100 on bet365, recent trends suggest this fixture may not be straightforward. Meetings between these two sides have consistently produced goals, with each of their last six clashes featuring at least three goals, a statistic that makes the “over 2.5 goals” market at 53/100 on bet365 a valuable option.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if two or more goals are scored in the game between Manchester City and Wolves.
Leicester City – Southampton, Saturday, 3:00 pm
This meeting between Leicester City and Southampton is set to be a contest for pride, with both sides already confirmed for relegation to the Championship
. With the pressure off, an open and entertaining match is anticipated, as neither team has anything left to lose after a difficult campaign.
Leicester have endured a challenging season under Ruud van Nistelrooy, conceding 49 goals in 21 Premier League matches and suffering nine consecutive home defeats without scoring, with an aggregate scoreline of 22-0 during that run.
Southampton, meanwhile, have struggled defensively as well, facing more shots (605), more shots on target (234), and recording the highest expected goals against (78.8) of any Premier League side this season.
Given these defensive records, both teams finding the net appears likely, making "both teams to score" at 61/100 on bet365 look like a strong bet.
Tip: Both teams to score @61/100
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Leicester City and Southampton at least a goal each in the game.
Arsenal – Bournemouth, Saturday, 5:30 pm
Arsenal face a demanding fixture schedule, with Mikel Arteta likely to rotate his squad against Bournemouth as attention shifts towards the Champions League tie with PSG and the Premier League title now out of reach.
While the Gunners have historically dominated this fixture-winning all eight of their previous home matches against Bournemouth across all competitions, this encounter could prove more competitive. Bournemouth have been impressive on their travels this season, with only Liverpool and Arsenal suffering fewer away defeats in the Premier League, making the Cherries a challenging opponent.
Given that Arsenal have conceded in four of their last five matches, Bournemouth will be confident of creating chances as they continue their push for a European place.
Tip: Bournemouth over 0.5 goals @9/25
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Bournemouth score at least one goal against Arsenal regardless of the result
Brentford – Manchester United, Sunday, 2:00 pm
Despite Manchester United’s recent struggles, going winless in their last five matches (D2 L3), Brentford’s odds to secure victory stand at 61/100 on bet365.
This cautious optimism is tempered by Brentford’s challenging recent record against the Red Devils, having won just one of their last 12 encounters across all competitions, a 4-0 home triumph in August 2022.
Additionally, Brentford have managed only one win in their last 10 home games, suffering six defeats during that span. However, with Manchester United likely to rotate their squad ahead of the Europa League semi-final second leg against Athletic Club, and Brentford still vying for a top-eight finish, backing Thomas Frank’s side to claim all three points is a compelling option.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Brentford beats Manchester United regardless of the score line.
Brighton – Newcastle United, Sunday, 2:00 pm
Brighton and Newcastle both harbour ambitions of European football next season, and the outcome of this fixture could play a pivotal role in determining which continental competition they ultimately qualify for.
Brighton, in particular, have developed a reputation for high-scoring matches, with odds for over 2.5 goals set at 57/100 on bet365 for this encounter.The Seagulls have both scored and conceded over 55 goals this season (56 for, 55 against), highlighting their attacking intent and defensive vulnerability.
Remarkably, since a 1-0 defeat to Everton in January, each of Brighton’s last 11 matches has featured at least three goals, producing a total of 45 goals - an average of 4.1 per game. Newcastle, meanwhile, come into this clash with a similar trend, as their last seven games have all seen three or more goals scored.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if two or more goals are scored in the game between Brighton and Newcastle.
West Ham – Tottenham Hotspur, Sunday, 2:00 pm
This weekend’s Premier League clash between West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur at the London Stadium is set to be a closely contested affair between two sides struggling for consistency.
Spurs’ recent form is mixed, with three losses in their last six games, and they have struggled to keep clean sheets, with both teams scoring in five of their last six outings.
Defensively, the Hammers have conceded 58 goals this season and kept just six clean sheets but have scored in each of their last four games despite struggling to pick a win. Given both teams’ leaky defences and tendency to concede, goals are likely making “both teams to score” at 1/2 look like a good bet.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if West Ham and Tottenham at least a goal each in the game.
Chelsea – Liverpool, Sunday, 4:30 pm
If there was a time for Chelsea to finally beat Liverpool, it has to be now. The Blues Chelsea are winless in their last 10 meetings with Liverpool in all competitions (D7 L3).
Liverpool have been confirmed as champions and though they will receive a guard of honor at Stamford Bridge should be still hangover from their celebrations.
However, the Blues have only won one of the previous six meetings (D2 L3) against a side already crowned champions, beating Man Utd 1-0 in 2012/13. With a motivated Mohamed Salah still chasing records, it may be wise to take a cautious approach before making any predictions.
Tip: No bet
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.