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We dive into the stats, analyse the odds, and make some savvy bets as we break down the potential outcomes of selected matches.
Bournemouth – Nottingham, Saturday 3 pm
Given the H2H record between the two teams, odds of 33/50 for both teams to score looks like a real bargain.
In the last five meetings between Bournemouth and Nottingham, both teams have scored at least once with the reverse fixture this season ending 1-1.
There’s no reason not to believe there’ll be a similar result this weekend. The two teams are high in confidence; Bournemouth are unbeaten in 10 Premier League games and Nottingham are unbeaten in 9 Premier League games.
Tip: Both Teams to Score @33/50
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Bournemouth and Nottingham score at least once during the game. So a 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2 etc. are all winning bets.
Brighton – Everton, Saturday 3 pm
Though Brighton ended an eight-game winless Premier League with victories against Ipswich and Manchester United, they have conceded an xG of 1.7 in both games.
The Seagulls have conceded 14 goals in 10 games at the Amex Stadium, a stat that will have David Moyes licking his lips.
Everton’s last three visits to the Amex Stadium have seen them score in each, including a 5-1 win two seasons ago. Everton to score at 57/100 looks risky but the numbers should allay any fears, especially after scoring three goals against Tottenham.
Tip: Everton total goals over 0.5@57/100
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Everton scores at least one goal against Brighton. The result of the match doesn’t matter.
Liverpool – Ipswich, Saturday 3 pm
The goals seem to have dried up for Liverpool, but there’s no need to panic as Arne Slot’s men return to Anfield where they have averaged two goals per game.
Ipswich conceded six against Manchester City at home and there’s no guarantee there won't be another avalanche of goals.
Liverpool are expected to dominate from beginning to end and that should be rewarded with a lead at half-time and full time which is at decent odds of 11/25.
Tip: Liverpool to win at half time/full time @11/25
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Liverpool leads at half-time and also leads at full-time. For example, if Liverpool is to lead 2-0 at halftime and increase the scoreline to 4-1 by full time then this bet works.
Manchester City vs Chelsea, Saturday 5:30 pm
This fixture has become very lopsided in recent times with Man. City unbeaten in their last 10 fixtures against Chelsea (W8, D2).
However, City have been unpredictable this season losing the last three matches they played immediately after a Champions League fixture this season.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have recently had a dip in form but ended a five-game winless run with a win against Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1.
Man City to win is at 1/1 on while Chelsea to win is at 23/10 which points to how tricky the game could be.
The best route to explore should be goals with Chelsea keeping one clean sheet in their last 19 away H2Hs and Man City conceding 29 goals this season.
Bet explanation: The bet is winning if 3 or more goals in total are scored, no matter who scores.
Aston Villa vs West Ham, Sunday 4:30 pm
This is a familiar ground for Graham Potter whose first match as West Ham coach was at Villa Park. Since that game, the Hammers have beaten Fulham and lost to Crystal Palace.
If anything, West Ham have proved to be a side that blows hot and cold this season and has largely been very inconsistent.
Aston Villa were disappointing in their 1-0 defeat to Monaco where Unai Emery bemoaned the team’s lack of tactical understanding. It remains to be seen how his players will react so it may be wise to take a wait-and-see approach for this one.
Tip: No bet
Fulham vs Manchester United, Sunday 7:00 pm
Manchester United are on their worst run of form with just 11 points from Ruben Amorim’s first 11 Premier League games. Nonetheless, Fulham have won just one of their last 18 Premier League H2Hs with the Red Devils (D3, L14).
If there was a time for Fulham to get a result against Manchester United, it must be this weekend given Amorim’s men needed to endure a draining 95+ minutes against Rangers and have also lost five of their last six Premier League games.
With Fulham well rested and just one defeat in their last 10 Premier League games, draw no bet at 57/100 for the London club looks worth the risk.
Tip: Fulham draw no bet @57/100
Bet explanation: The bet is winning if Fulham wins. If the match ends in a draw, the bet is void, ie. the stake is returned. If Manchester United wins, the bet is lost.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.