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Just six points separate Nottingham Forest in third from Brighton who are placed ninth. Every point will be crucial as the race for Europe is set to go down to the wire.
Liverpool will look to bounce back and take a giant leap towards the title when they host West Ham as Manchester City return to the Etihad to face Crystal Palace. The fixture of the weekend sees Manchester United travel to Tyneside to face in-form Newcastle.
We dive into the stats, analyse the odds, and make some savvy bets as we break down the potential outcomes of selected games.
Manchester City – Crystal Palace, Saturday, 12:30 pm
Unlike the Manchester Derby last weekend, Manchester City are expected to attack more and go for all three points in front of their home crowd.
That means Omar Marmoush will be involved more upfront as City are likely to create chances. With the absence of Erling Haaland, Marmoush isn’t a rotation risk and his odds of 9/10 on bet365 to attempt two or more shots on target look appealing.
All of the Egyptian’s five league goals for City have come at the Etihad and he has had three shots on target in each of his last two Premier League games and has had 12 shots on target in his last six starts (averaging 2.2 per 90 minutes in that time).
Tip: Omar Marmoush to play 2+ shots on target@9/10
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Omar Marmoush plays two or more shots on target against Crystal Palace.
Brighton – Leicester, Saturday, 3:00 pm
Two consecutive defeats seem to have derailed Brighton’s hopes of playing in Europe next season but the good news is that Leicester City is up next.
The Foxes have been the whipping boys in the Premier League recently setting an unwanted record of losing eight straight home league games without scoring. Their record on the road isn’t any better as they have also lost each of their last eight games at any venue without scoring.
Brighton are overwhelming favorites to win and bet365’s odds of 7/25 can be boosted to 83/100 by adding the Seagulls will win with over 2.5 goals in the game.
Tip: Brighton win over 2.5 goals @83/100
Bet explanation: This bet wins Brighton wins the match and the total goals scored in the game are three or more. So a 2-1, 3-1, 3-2 win for Brighton etc.
Southampton – Aston Villa, Saturday, 3:00 pm
Southampton became the first side to be relegated this season last weekend and as a result parted ways with head coach Ivan Juric.
After the confirmation, the Saints are expected to play without any shackles and will try to enjoy the rest of their Premier League games. As a neutral, this points to even more entertaining games from Southampton who have nothing to lose.
With Aston Villa, who have scored in each game since February 1, coming around goals are assured making bet365’s odds of 61/100 for ‘Over 2.5 goals’ look attractive. Unai Emery’s men have won their last three league games and are in the hunt for a top 5 place.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if two or more goals are scored in the game between Southampton and Aston Villa.
Arsenal – Brentford, Saturday, 5:30 pm
Arsenal’s momentous win over Real Madrid in midweek complicates the game against Brentford this weekend. Although momentum is key, Mikel Arteta is expected to rest some key players ahead of the second leg next week.
Two of Arsenal’s four draws at home this season directly followed European midweek action and Brentford, despite their poor form, have caused the Gunners problems in recent seasons.
With the cloud of uncertainty hanging over this London derby, it might be wise to adopt a wait and see approach before making any predictions.
Tip: No bet
Liverpool – West Ham, Sunday, 2:00 pm
Liverpool seemed to have run out of gas getting to the end of the season but luckily for them they have built an unassailable lead at the top of the Premier League table.
In the last five games, the Reds have lost three of them, winning just two. In those two wins they conceded against Southampton and allowed 0.67 xG (Expected Goals) from Everton.
Even though Liverpool might be favorites to beat West Ham, Arne Slot’s men have shown they are vulnerable in defense recently. West Ham to score at least once is at 18/25 odds on bet365 which is good value.
Tip: West Ham Total Goals Over 0.5@18/25
Bet explanation: This bet wins if West Ham scores at least one goal against Liverpool regardless of the final result.
Newcastle – Manchester United, Sunday, 4:30 pm
Newcastle have been in high spirits winning their last four games which included that historic Carabao Cup triumph over Liverpool.
The Magpies have a strong H2H in this fixture against Manchester United winning four of the last five meetings. Earlier in the season, Eddie Howe’s men dominated United at Old Trafford beating them 2-0.
The Red Devils have had a mixed bag in form and have struggled for consistency and coming off a Europa League game on Thursday, Newcastle should be overwhelming favorites at home.
Tip: Newcastle Utd to win @33/50
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Newcastle beats Manchester United regardless of the score.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.