Germany v Portugal: Nations League semi-final predictions, best bets and odds

Frank Monkhouse

Germany v Portugal tips

Both score and Germany win @ 5/2 (bet365)

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Germany enter unbeaten

Germany secured their spot in the knockout stages by winning the Nations League A Group 3 without losing a game. They topped the pool following four wins and two draws from six outings, scoring 18 goals and conceding just four. A total of 14 points ensured Team Germany finished well clear of the chasing pack, with the Netherlands in second place, choking in their dust, five points behind.

Following three straight wins, Germany rounded off the group campaign with a 1-1 draw at Hungary. They followed that level finish with a memorable quarter-final against Italy. Germany won the first leg 2-1 on Italian soil, before battling to an exciting six-goal draw in Munich, ensuring they progressed with a 5-4 aggregate win.

A win over Euro 2020 champions Italy deserves full credit, but everyone connected to Germany knows they must improve defensively if they're to pass Portugal to reach the final and lift the trophy. You can bet on Germany to win the match in normal time at odds of 1.83 (bet365).

Tip: Both score and Germany win @ 5/2 (bet365)

Bet explanation: If Germany wins the game but Portugal scores at least one goal, you'll earn the profits.

Portugal power through

Portugal are still alive and kicking after winning Nations League A Group 1. Like their semi-final opponents, the Portuguese successfully passed a tricky group phase without suffering defeat. Stats of four wins and two draws with 13 goals scored and five conceded, Portugal a total of 14 points, ensuring they crossed the line six points ahead of nearest rivals Croatia, with Scotland back in third and Poland relegated to the second tier.

Following a near-perfect first phase, Portugal progressed to the quarter-finals, where they fought back to defeat Denmark. The Danes had been written off by most pundits before kick-off, but exploded into an early lead, winning the first leg 1-0. Knowing they had to cover the deficit in the second match, Portugal went on the attack from the first whistle, battling to a 5-2 victory, ensuring they progressed 5-3 on aggregate.

Do you expect Portugal to extend their run in the Nations League for another match? You can bet on a Portugal win at 4.33 with bet365 or try your luck on the draw with the same sportsbook at 3.60. Interestingly, traders believe a draw is the best Roberto Martinez's side can hope for.

Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11 (bet365)

Bet explanation: If the game produces three or more goals, your bet wins.

Germany v Portugal head-to-head

When making predictions on the latter stages of major competitions, it's usually a good idea to check the head-to-head stats. Which team has dominated past meetings? Have there been plenty of goals, and how can the numbers lead you to a profit?

Here are the eye-catchers from the Germany v Portugal head-to-head:

Germany has lost just one of their 11 meeting with Portugal.

Wednesday will be the first time Germany and Portugal have met in the Nations League.

Both teams scored in three of the last five games, including a 4-2 win for Germany.

Germany has scored exactly four goals in each of their previous two games against Portugal.

Portugal's last win over Germany was at the European Championships in 2000.

If you choose to follow the findings above, you may expect a decisive win for Germany, with a high-scoring game and plenty of talking points.

Tip: Germany to win @ 4/5 (bet365)

Bet explanation: If Germany wins the match, you win your bet.

Germany v Portugal predictions

Who wins on Wednesday? The pre-match betting odds available at bet365 make Germany the firm favourites. Both nations enter on a similar run of form, and a fascinating semi-final is expected. Thankfully, the stats give us plenty to go on when making predictions.

Our first bet on Germany v Portugal is for the match to produce more than two goals at 1.72 (bet365). Making the same bet would've landed you a profit the last two times these teams met, and in five of the previous six. It's also worth remembering Germany's quarter-final produced nine goals in March, while Portugal's double-header with Denmark gave eight goals.

Traders have Germany as the most likely winner of this semi-final, and I'm confident they've picked the right side of the fence. The stats show the Germans beat the Portuguese in their last five meetings, a run spanning 25 years. In that time, the aggregate score is Germany 15-5 Portugal. That's more than enough to catch our eye.

Over 2.5 goals at 8/11 (bet365)

Germany to win and both teams to score at 5/2 (bet365).

Join bet365

If you don't already hold an online betting account with bet365, it could be the perfect time to join. The globally popular sports betting app offers Flashscore readers a stunning welcome bonus when you create an account, deposit £10 or more and gamble on football.

When your first bet results, £30 in bet credits appear in your balance, and you can use those funds to bet on the best markets from upcoming games. The Nations League semi-finals are ideal for your bonus, allowing you to try over 100 pre-match and in-play odds.

In addition to pre-match gambling, bet365 also offers live betting, allowing you to gamble before kick-off or at any stage of the contest. You're in complete control of what you bet on, when you play and where.

Germany v Portugal odds

Germany - 4/5 (bet365)

Draw - 27/10 (bet365)

Portugal win - 10/3 (bet365)

Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.

Discover the best betting bonuses

Looking to bet on this week's action from the UEFA Nations League? Flashscore has everything you need to beat the bookies. On our betting bonuses page, you'll discover the best bonuses, promotions and football offers available today.

Mentions

FootballUEFA Nations LeagueBettingGermanyPortugal