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Fluminense v Ulsan HD: Club World Cup predictions, best bets and odds

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Fluminense v Ulsan HD: Club World Cup predictions, best bets and odds
Fluminense v Ulsan HD: Club World Cup predictions, best bets and oddsAFP

The second round of the Club World Cup group stage continues as Brazilian heavyweights Fluminense play Korean giants Ulsan HD in a key match in Group F.

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The Club World Cup has thrown up loads of interesting ties so far, and this is no different as Brazilian Serie A side Fluminense take on the K League’s Ulsan HD in a battle for both teams to register their first win in Group F.

Fluminense had a great draw in their first game against the Bundesliga’s Borussia Dortmund, a game they dominated but finished 0-0. Ulsan HD lost their first game against Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 and now will be looking to bounce back and get their campaign in the USA up and running.

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Fluminense v Ulsan HD tips

- Fluminense only team to score @ 10/11 (bet365)

- Under 2.5 goals @ 21/20 (bet365)

- Over nine corners @ 10/11 (bet365)

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Fluminense to score without reply

The support for the teams from South America in this tournament has been buoyant. Fluminense will hope to repay their support with a rousing victory this time and put themselves firmly in the driving seat to qualify from this group.

What would help them do that is getting another clean sheet like they did against Dortmund in their first group game. Clean sheets have been a fixture of recent matches for Fluminense too, not conceding in their last three competitive matches. What’s more is that Fluminense are on a seven-game unbeaten streak and will see this as a great opportunity to add to that.

Betting on just a win for Fluminense has returns of only 3/10. These are enhanced by betting on the result and both teams to score. Fluminense to win and both teams not to score is down at 10/11 and I would go for this.

Tip: Fluminese to win and both teams not to score @ 10/11 with bet365

Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Fluminese win the match and Ulsan HD do not score by full-time

Goals at a premium

Fluminense were the better team in their first game against Dortmund. They had twice as many shots as their opponents (14 to 7), while also recording more shots on target (5 to 3) and a higher expected goals total (0.64 xG to 0.24 xG). 

The xG shows why their first game likely ended blank on the scoresheet, because of the quality of the chances, but that is not usually the case for the Brazilians, as Fluminense have scored at least twice in six of their last eight games.

Whilst they have scored at least two in eight, in their unbeaten streak of seven games, five of those have seen two goals or fewer scored overall. Against Ulsan this time, I see a similar pattern playing out and bet365 have under 2.5 goals scored in the game at 21/20, making it an attractive bet.

Tip: Under 2.5 goals scored in the game @ 21/20 with bet365

Bet Explanation: This bet wins if two or fewer goals are scored by full-time

A game for corners

An interesting statistic from Ulsan HD’s game against Mamelodi Sundowns, which saw them win nine corners despite only having 32.1% of possession. Overall, only Inter Miami CF and FC Bayern München won more corners in a match in the tournament so far (10 each). Ulsan did get an xG of 0.88 in that game from 9 shots, which shows that they did try their chance at goal when they had the opportunity.

Fluminense, in their opening game, got a total of seven corners, and even though they had less possession, albeit just less possession, they still took 14 shots at goal. This hints that there will be chances in this game, as both teams have an eye on attacking no matter the circumstances.

Bet365 has over nine corners in total down at 10/11, and judging by both Fluminense and Ulsan’s opening games, which saw 10 or more corners in both, I like the look of these odds too.

Tip: Over nine corners in the game @ 10/11 with bet365

Bet Explanation: This bet wins if there are 10 or more corners in the game

Fluminense v Ulsan HD odds

- Fluminense: 3/10

- Draw: 17/4

- Ulsan HD: 17/2

Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.

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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.