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Barcelona will be aiming for a perfect night in front of their fans as El Clásico returns to the Spotify Camp Nou. A draw would also be enough for them to win the league, while Real Madrid will be fighting for a victory to salvage pride and delay what seems to be the inevitable title celebrations for the Catalan side. The atmosphere is tense, with Los Blancos embroiled in controversy this week, but Alvaro Arbeloa will need to ensure that none of that shows on the pitch. Here are our predictions for the match.
Barcelona v Real Madrid tips
Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score – 4/9 @ bet365
Lunin over 2.5 saves – 4/9 @ bet365
Barcelona to finish with more shots, more shots on target, and more corners – 17/10 @ bet365
Three or more goals and both teams to score
This is expected to be an end-to-end match, as these are the two highest-scoring teams in the league and both rank among the top five for games with over 2.5 goals, a stat that has occurred in 14 of Barça’s 17 home matches this season. Nine of the last ten meetings between these sides have also seen at least three goals, with both teams finding the net.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score – 4/9 @ bet365
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if there are at least three goals in total and both teams score.
Lunin, three or more saves
Barcelona are by far the team with the most shots, and the most on target, in La Liga EA Sports. That means Andriy Lunin is likely to be tested repeatedly, and the Ukrainian keeper has shown he’s up to the task: in the seven matches where he’s faced three or more shots on target since Thibaut Courtois’ injury, he’s made enough saves for this prediction to come good. So we expect him to make at least three saves.
Tip: Lunin over 2.5 saves – 4/9 @ bet365
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Lunin makes three or more saves.
Barcelona to finish with more shots, more shots on target and more corners
Real Madrid will almost certainly be competitive and have their chances, regardless of Kylian Mbappé’s condition, but Barça are expected to see more of the ball and pose more of an attacking threat, even without Lamine Yamal and with Raphinha likely starting on the bench. In fact, the Blaugrana have won more corners than any other team in the league so far — almost 20 more than Madrid, who are second — and they also lead in total shots and shots on target. They’ve dominated all three stats in nearly every round, including the last Clásico at home in the previous league campaign. Admittedly, this is a slightly risky combination, but with so much at stake and the home crowd behind them, Hansi Flick’s side should look to control the game and attack.
Tip: Barcelona to finish with more shots, more shots on target, and more corners – 17/10 @ bet365
Bet Explanation: This bet wins if Barça end the match with more shots, more shots on target and more corners than Madrid, regardless of the result or the number of goals scored.
Barcelona v Real Madrid odds
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Odds correct at the time of writing, subject to change.