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Football fans enjoy a summer treat on Wednesday evening from Salzburg, Austria, where PSG play Aston Villa in the UEFA Super Cup.
Luis Enrique’s team enter as champions of France and Europe. Unai Emery’s Villains finished fourth in the English Premier League before beating Freiburg to win the Europa League.
Will the Champions League winners pull rank, or can the Europa League kings cause an early-season upset? You can bet on an impressive list of pre-match markets at bet365, including winner, totals, and first scorer.
Football betting expert Frank Monkhouse offers his three predictions based on the stats and trends available on the user-friendly Flashscore app.
PSG v Aston Villa betting tips
PSG to lift the trophy @ 4/9 (bet365)
Dembele score or assist @ 4/5 (bet365)
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
To lift the trophy - PSG
My first UEFA Super Cup betting tip to consider is PSG to lift the trophy.
You can back PSG in the match-winner market at higher odds, but that only covers you for 90 minutes. Trusting the Parisians to lift the trophy covers 90 minutes, a win in extra-time, or victory on penalties. To lift the trophy increases your chances of landing a profit.
The head-to-head stats at Flashscore show these teams met twice in the 2024/25 Champions League. PSG won 3-1 at the Parc des Princes in the first leg, going through 5-4 on aggregate.
In those two legs, PSG dominated all of the vital stats, including possession. The Ligue 1 side had 75% possession in France, and 65% in England. With the lion’s share of the football, they created a total of 43 shots at goal and 14 corners.
I expect PSG to spend long periods of this match with the football, moving Villa around the pitch with slick passing. Chasing the ball and having to be fully switched on in defence against such a dangerous opponent will drain Villa’s energy, especially so early in the season when fitness isn’t 100%.
With an embarrassment of riches in the final third of the pitch, PSG have the class and experience to create chances, score goals, and win the Super Cup.
Tip: PSG to lift the trophy @ 4/9 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If PSG win in regulation time, extra-time or on penalties, you’ll secure a profit.
Total goals - Over 1.5
Moving away from the match-winner, I am confident PSG vs Villa will produce more than one goal in 90 minutes.
Here, it doesn’t matter which team wins, the final score or who gets the goals. If Wednesday’s showdown ends with two or more goals scored, you’ll boost your betting balance, and there’s reason to be confident.
On route to winning last season’s Champions League, PSG scored 21 goals in their 8 league starts. They then put five past Monaco, scored eight against Chelsea, four versus Liverpool, six when eliminating Bayern Munich, and one against Arsenal in the final.
In their run to the Europa League title last term, Aston Villa scored 14 goals in the league phase, and another 17 in the knockout rounds.
Over 1.5 goals is a strong bet, and I am confident it’ll do a job in your Super Cup final bet builders and midweek football accumulators.
Tip: Over 1.5 goals @ 2/7 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need PSG vs Aston Villa to produce more than one goal in 90 minutes of play. Please note, extra time and penalties don’t count.
Score or assist - Dembele
My third and final prediction ahead of Wednesday’s glamour tie is for Ousmane Dembele to score or assist.
The world-class PSG and France forward notched 25 goals in 49 appearances for club and country last season.
That impressive run includes strikes against England at the World Cup in the bronze medal match, Arsenal in the Champions League final, and three goals over two legs against Bayern Munich in the UCL semi-final.
Fully rested from this summer’s efforts for France at the World Cup, where he netted six goals, Dembele will be eager to get started on a new campaign. The 29-year-old Ballon d’Or winner will be a popular pick, and backers will get a run for their money.
When backing Dembele to score or assist on Wednesday, the market covers 90-minute betting only. A wondergoal inside the opening 60 seconds of play pays the same as Ousmane setting up a teammate for an easy tap-in with the last kick of the ball.
The match result doesn’t impact your bet or how much you win. Back Dembele to score or assist, and your bet is live for the entire time the attacker is on the field of play.
Tip: Dembele to score or assist @ 4/5 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You’ll secure a profit on this bet if Dembele scores or is credited with an assist in the UEFA Super Cup match with Aston Villa in Austria.
PSG v Aston Villa betting odds
Aston Villa win @ 10/3 (bet365)
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.